Football · Argentina Championship Women · 03/10, 20:30

Prediction: Lanus (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)

Team pages: Lanus (W) · Social Atletico Television (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Lanus (W)0.74

Social Atletico Television (W)1.06

1X2

25% 32% 43%

Lanus (W) Draw Social Atletico Television (W)

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Lanus (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWDDL

Social Atletico Television (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWWDLD

Head-to-head

Lanus (W) 2–2 Social Atletico Television (W) (4 last)

Social Atletico Television (W)0-2Lanus (W)
Lanus (W)1-3Social Atletico Television (W)
Social Atletico Television (W)2-1Lanus (W)
Lanus (W)1-0Social Atletico Television (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanus (W) 1528 · Social Atletico Television (W) 1518

	Lanus (W)	Draw	Social Atletico Television (W)
Our model	24%	35%	41%
Market	26%	30%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lanus (W)	Social Atletico Television (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/78/11%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.00

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.85 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +5’	3.40	3.00	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +37’	3.85	2.98	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus (W) 2–0–2 Social Atletico Television (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Lanus (W)
13/06/23 Argentina Championship Women	Lanus (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Social Atletico Television (W)
18/09/22 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Lanus (W)
20/08/21 Argentina Championship Women	Lanus (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Social Atletico Television (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Luis FC (W)	10	8	0	2	20	11	24
2	Boca Juniors (W)	10	7	1	2	16	8	22
3	Banfield (W)	10	6	3	1	17	8	21
4	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	9	5	3	1	14	6	18
5	Belgrano (W)	10	5	2	3	18	9	17
6	San Lorenzo (W)	9	4	4	1	14	7	16
7	Social Atletico Television (W)	10	4	4	2	10	7	16
8	Lanus (W)	9	4	2	3	8	8	14
9	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	9	4	1	4	16	16	13
10	River Plate (W)	7	3	2	2	11	6	11
11	Racing Club (W)	9	3	2	4	14	10	11
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	10	2	3	5	9	18	9
13	CA Independiente Women	10	3	0	7	12	24	9
14	Huracan (W)	10	2	1	7	8	16	7
15	Gimnasia LP (W)	10	1	1	8	4	18	4
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	10	0	1	9	4	23	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lanus (W)	Social Atletico Television (W)
San Luis FC (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Union Santa Fe (W)	0-0 D	3-1 W
CA Independiente Women	2-1 W	2-0 W
Huracan (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Belgrano (W)	1-3 L	1-0 W
Gimnasia LP (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Newell's Old Boys (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
San Lorenzo (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lanus (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lanus (W)

WWWLLWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
23/09	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
19/09	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
11/09	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
05/09	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
30/08	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
16/08	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-3	2-3	2	3	L
08/08	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
02/08	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
22/07	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	–	1-0	–	–	W

Social Atletico Television (W)

WDLDWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
19/09	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
13/09	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
07/09	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
31/08	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
24/08	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
17/08	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
11/08	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
02/08	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
26/07	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanus (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Social Atletico Television (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Lanus (W) 25%, draw 32%, Social Atletico Television (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Lanus (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Lanus (W) 0.74 · Social Atletico Television (W) 1.06), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Lanus (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.