Football · Argentina Championship Women · 02/10, 22:00
Prediction: San Lorenzo (W) vs Huracan (W)
Team pages: San Lorenzo (W) · Huracan (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
San Lorenzo (W)1.75
Huracan (W)0.51
1X2
San Lorenzo (W)
Draw
Huracan (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
San Lorenzo (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Huracan (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Lorenzo (W)
2–3–1
Huracan (W)
(6 last)
- Huracan (W)0-1San Lorenzo (W)
- Huracan (W)0-0San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)2-2Huracan (W)
- Huracan (W)0-2San Lorenzo (W)
- Huracan (W)2-0San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)0-0Huracan (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Lorenzo (W) 1550 · Huracan (W) 1417
| San Lorenzo (W) | Draw | Huracan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 24% | 9% |
| Market | 69% | 20% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Lorenzo (W) (rating 1550 vs 1417).
- H2H favours San Lorenzo (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Lorenzo (W) | Huracan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/56/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Lorenzo (W) 2–3–1 Huracan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 Argentina Championship Women | Huracan (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 09/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Huracan (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 08/12/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Huracan (W) |
| 21/07/24 Argentina Championship Women | Huracan (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 15/09/23 Argentina Championship Women | Huracan (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 18/03/23 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Huracan (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors (W) | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Belgrano (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo (W) | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Lanus (W) | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | River Plate (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Racing Club (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 13 | CA Independiente Women | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 9 |
| 14 | Huracan (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 4 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Lorenzo (W) | Huracan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Belgrano (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Lanus (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: San Lorenzo (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 04/09 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Huracan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 28/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Lorenzo (W) vs Huracan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Lorenzo (W) win (68%). Probabilities: San Lorenzo (W) 68%, draw 22%, Huracan (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in San Lorenzo (W) vs Huracan (W)?
The model expects 2.26 goals (San Lorenzo (W) 1.75 · Huracan (W) 0.51), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo (W) vs Huracan (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.