Football · Argentina Championship Women · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: Boca Juniors (W) vs San Luis FC (W)

Team pages: Boca Juniors (W) · San Luis FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Boca Juniors (W)1.75

San Luis FC (W)0.65

1X2

63% 24% 13%

Boca Juniors (W) Draw San Luis FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Boca Juniors (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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San Luis FC (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Boca Juniors (W) 2–2–1 San Luis FC (W) (5 last)

San Luis FC (W)0-0Boca Juniors (W)
San Luis FC (W)0-4Boca Juniors (W)
San Luis FC (W)1-0Boca Juniors (W)
Boca Juniors (W)0-0San Luis FC (W)
San Luis FC (W)2-3Boca Juniors (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boca Juniors (W) 1561 · San Luis FC (W) 1559

	Boca Juniors (W)	Draw	San Luis FC (W)
Our model	63%	25%	12%
Market	63%	24%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Boca Juniors (W): 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boca Juniors (W)	San Luis FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	1.3 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X3.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +3’	1.42	3.75	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors (W) 2–2–1 San Luis FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Boca Juniors (W)
06/09/25 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Boca Juniors (W)
15/03/25 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Boca Juniors (W)
31/08/24 Argentina Championship Women	Boca Juniors (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	San Luis FC (W)
13/04/24 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Boca Juniors (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Luis FC (W)	10	8	0	2	20	11	24
2	Boca Juniors (W)	10	7	1	2	16	8	22
3	Banfield (W)	10	6	3	1	17	8	21
4	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	9	5	3	1	14	6	18
5	Belgrano (W)	10	5	2	3	18	9	17
6	San Lorenzo (W)	9	4	4	1	14	7	16
7	Social Atletico Television (W)	10	4	4	2	10	7	16
8	Lanus (W)	9	4	2	3	8	8	14
9	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	9	4	1	4	16	16	13
10	River Plate (W)	7	3	2	2	11	6	11
11	Racing Club (W)	9	3	2	4	14	10	11
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	10	2	3	5	9	18	9
13	CA Independiente Women	10	3	0	7	12	24	9
14	Huracan (W)	10	2	1	7	8	16	7
15	Gimnasia LP (W)	10	1	1	8	4	18	4
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	10	0	1	9	4	23	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boca Juniors (W)	San Luis FC (W)
River Plate (W)	2-1 W	1-5 L
Union Santa Fe (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
CA Independiente Women	2-1 W	3-1 W
Huracan (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Belgrano (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Banfield (W)	0-0 D	1-3 L
Gimnasia LP (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Newell's Old Boys (W)	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: San Luis FC (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boca Juniors (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
27/09	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
19/09	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
12/09	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
05/09	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
22/08	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
16/08	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
08/08	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
03/08	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
27/07	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-2	6	4	L

San Luis FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
19/09	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
12/09	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	3-0	1	6	W
05/09	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-0	3-1	3	2	W
29/08	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
22/08	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
16/08	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-2	1-5	1	3	L
09/08	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	1-3	2	2	L
02/08	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
27/07	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	4-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors (W) 63%, draw 24%, San Luis FC (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Boca Juniors (W) 1.75 · San Luis FC (W) 0.65), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.