Football · Argentina Championship Women · 03/10, 20:00
Prediction: Newell's Old Boys (W) vs River Plate (W)
Team pages: Newell's Old Boys (W) · River Plate (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Newell's Old Boys (W)0.85
River Plate (W)1.91
1X2
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Draw
River Plate (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Newell's Old Boys (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
River Plate (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newell's Old Boys (W)
2–2
River Plate (W)
(4 last)
- River Plate (W)1-0Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)1-0River Plate (W)
- River Plate (W)0-2Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)2-3River Plate (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1383 · River Plate (W) 1534
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | Draw | River Plate (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 24% | 61% |
| Market | 15% | 24% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (W) (rating 1383 vs 1534).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | River Plate (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's Old Boys (W) 2–0–2 River Plate (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Argentina Championship Women | River Plate (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 30/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | River Plate (W) |
| 16/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | River Plate (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-3 HT 2-2 | River Plate (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors (W) | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo (W) | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Racing Club (W) | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Lanus (W) | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | River Plate (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 10 |
| 13 | CA Independiente Women | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 9 |
| 14 | Huracan (W) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 4 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newell's Old Boys (W) | River Plate (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Banfield (W) | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Lanus (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| San Luis FC (W) | 1-4 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: River Plate (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/09 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
River Plate (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/09 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs River Plate (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an River Plate (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Newell's Old Boys (W) 15%, draw 24%, River Plate (W) 61%.
How many goals are expected in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs River Plate (W)?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.85 · River Plate (W) 1.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs River Plate (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.