Prediction: Atlas (W) vs Leon (W)
Team pages: Atlas (W) · Leon (W)
- Leon (W)4-0Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)2-4Leon (W)
- Leon (W)4-3Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)0-0Leon (W)
- Atlas (W)0-3Leon (W)
- Leon (W)1-1Atlas (W)
| Atlas (W) | Draw | Leon (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leon (W) (rating 1464 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Leon (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlas (W) | Leon (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.8 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlas (W) 0–2–4 Leon (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 06/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Leon (W) |
| 16/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Atlas (W) |
| 02/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leon (W) |
| 18/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Leon (W) |
| 04/11/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 10 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlas (W) | Leon (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Unam Pumas (W) | 0-1 L | 5-2 W |
| Queretaro (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Club America (W) | 2-2 D | 0-5 L |
| Atlante (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Toluca (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlas (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 1-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Leon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlas (W) vs Leon (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Leon (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Atlas (W) 24%, draw 25%, Leon (W) 51%.
How many goals are expected in Atlas (W) vs Leon (W)?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Atlas (W) 1.23 · Leon (W) 1.89), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlas (W) vs Leon (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.