Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 01/11, 22:45

Prediction: Club America (W) vs Atlante (W)

Team pages: Club America (W) · Atlante (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.16Total
Club America (W)3.08
Atlante (W)1.08
1X2
86% 9% 6%
Club America (W) Draw Atlante (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Club America (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDWLWW
Atlante (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWDLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club America (W) 1600 · Atlante (W) 1419
Club America (W)DrawAtlante (W)
Our model76%14%9%
Market93%4%3%
Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1600 vs 1419).
  • High corners: 14 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club America (W)Atlante (W)
Goals for / against (FT)4.1 / 1.20.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)2.8 / 0.60.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/20/0%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)4.9 / 10.21.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.33.4 / 0.1

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 121011 541231
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 131003 321330
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 12615 242519
4 Unam Pumas (W) 13526 202417
5 Pachuca (W) 13517 251716
6 Atlas (W) 13445 132716
7 Tijuana (W) 13328 162911
8 Puebla (W) 121110 15424
9 Necaxa (W) 130013 4530

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub America (W)Atlante (W)
Leon (W) 5-0 W 0-2 L
Atlas (W) 2-2 D 0-1 L
Unam Pumas (W) 2-1 W 0-0 D
Tijuana (W) 3-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club America (W)

WWWWWDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-0 7-0 73 W
19/10 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-1 2-1 76 W
03/10 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 3-4 83 L
29/09 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 5-0 66 W
20/09 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-2 102 D
14/09 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 5-2 105 W
05/09 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 133 W
30/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 3-1 164 W
24/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-0 7-0 –– W
15/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-1 156 W

Atlante (W)

LLLLLWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/10 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 73 L
20/10 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-2 42 L
04/10 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 23 L
28/09 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-0 12 D
21/09 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-1 48 W
12/09 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 66 L
08/09 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 01 L
01/09 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 25 L
24/08 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-2 41 L
15/08 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-3 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club America (W) vs Atlante (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Club America (W) 86%, draw 9%, Atlante (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Club America (W) vs Atlante (W)?

The model expects 4.16 goals (Club America (W) 3.08 · Atlante (W) 1.08), with a 56% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club America (W) vs Atlante (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.