Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 31/10, 04:00
Prediction: Monterrey (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)
Team pages: Monterrey (W) · Unam Pumas (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Monterrey (W)2.55
Unam Pumas (W)1.12
1X2
Monterrey (W)
Draw
Unam Pumas (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Monterrey (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Unam Pumas (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monterrey (W)
5–1
Unam Pumas (W)
(6 last)
- Monterrey (W)3-0Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)4-0Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)2-1Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)1-2Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)1-0Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)0-2Monterrey (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monterrey (W) 1602 · Unam Pumas (W) 1495
| Monterrey (W) | Draw | Unam Pumas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monterrey (W) (rating 1602 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Monterrey (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monterrey (W) | Unam Pumas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.7 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.2 | 3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterrey (W) 5–0–1 Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 13/07/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Monterrey (W) |
| 10/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 13/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Monterrey (W) |
| 14/05/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 11/05/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Monterrey (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 50 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monterrey (W) | Unam Pumas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL (W) | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Club America (W) | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Puebla (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Queretaro (W) | 4-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monterrey (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/10 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 4-3 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 10-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 18/10 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monterrey (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monterrey (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Monterrey (W) 67%, draw 19%, Unam Pumas (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Monterrey (W) 2.55 · Unam Pumas (W) 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Monterrey (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.