Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 01/11, 02:06
Prediction: Queretaro (W) vs Pachuca (W)
Team pages: Queretaro (W) · Pachuca (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Queretaro (W)0.86
Pachuca (W)2.45
1X2
Queretaro (W)
Draw
Pachuca (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Queretaro (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Pachuca (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Queretaro (W)
0–2–4
Pachuca (W)
(6 last)
- Pachuca (W)4-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)2-2Pachuca (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-7Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)3-1Queretaro (W)
- Pachuca (W)4-1Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-1Pachuca (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queretaro (W) 1418 · Pachuca (W) 1488
| Queretaro (W) | Draw | Pachuca (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| Market | 11% | 17% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (W) (rating 1418 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Pachuca (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queretaro (W) | Pachuca (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.1 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queretaro (W) 0–2–4 Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 13/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 07/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-7 HT 1-4 | Pachuca (W) |
| 23/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 27/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Queretaro (W) |
| 17/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Pachuca (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 50 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queretaro (W) | Pachuca (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 0-5 L | 3-1 W |
| Leon (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/10 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 19/10 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 21/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queretaro (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pachuca (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Queretaro (W) 11%, draw 18%, Pachuca (W) 72%.
How many goals are expected in Queretaro (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Queretaro (W) 0.86 · Pachuca (W) 2.45), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Queretaro (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.