Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 01/11, 05:10
Prediction: Necaxa (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)
Team pages: Necaxa (W) · Santos Laguna (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Necaxa (W)0.76
Santos Laguna (W)2.51
1X2
Necaxa (W)
Draw
Santos Laguna (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Necaxa (W)
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Santos Laguna (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Necaxa (W)
3–1–2
Santos Laguna (W)
(6 last)
- Necaxa (W)0-2Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-2Necaxa (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)2-3Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)1-0Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)3-2Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)2-2Santos Laguna (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Necaxa (W) 1356 · Santos Laguna (W) 1495
| Necaxa (W) | Draw | Santos Laguna (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 17% | 75% |
| Market | 9% | 16% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santos Laguna (W) (rating 1356 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Necaxa (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Necaxa (W) | Santos Laguna (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 4.7 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 2.3 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/10/90% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa (W) 3–1–2 Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 05/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Necaxa (W) |
| 22/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Necaxa (W) |
| 29/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 12/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Necaxa (W) |
| 16/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Santos Laguna (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 50 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Necaxa (W) | Santos Laguna (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Pachuca (W) | 0-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Toluca (W) | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Monterrey (W) | 0-10 L | 1-4 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Puebla (W) | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 7 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Santos Laguna (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/10 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 29/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-10 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-5 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/10 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 03/10 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Necaxa (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Santos Laguna (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Necaxa (W) 9%, draw 16%, Santos Laguna (W) 75%.
How many goals are expected in Necaxa (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Necaxa (W) 0.76 · Santos Laguna (W) 2.51), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Necaxa (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.