Football · Poland I Liga · 15/10, 18:30
Prediction: MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepolomice
Team pages: MKP Pogon Siedlce · Puszcza Niepolomice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
MKP Pogon Siedlce1.45
Puszcza Niepolomice0.98
1X2
MKP Pogon Siedlce
Draw
Puszcza Niepolomice
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
MKP Pogon Siedlce
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Puszcza Niepolomice
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MKP Pogon Siedlce
1–2–1
Puszcza Niepolomice
(4 last)
- Puszcza Niepolomice3-0MKP Pogon Siedlce
- MKP Pogon Siedlce0-0Puszcza Niepolomice
- MKP Pogon Siedlce0-0Puszcza Niepolomice
- Puszcza Niepolomice2-3MKP Pogon Siedlce
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MKP Pogon Siedlce | Puszcza Niepolomice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MKP Pogon Siedlce 1–2–1 Puszcza Niepolomice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Poland I Liga | Puszcza Niepolomice | 3-0 HT 1-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 24/08/25 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puszcza Niepolomice |
| 27/05/18 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puszcza Niepolomice |
| 04/11/17 Poland I Liga | Puszcza Niepolomice | 2-3 HT 1-1 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Miedz Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Stal Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 9 |
| 17 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MKP Pogon Siedlce | Puszcza Niepolomice |
|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Arka Gdynia | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Polonia Warsaw | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| LKS Lodz | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: MKP Pogon Siedlce (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MKP Pogon Siedlce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Puszcza Niepolomice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MKP Pogon Siedlce win (47%). Probabilities: MKP Pogon Siedlce 47%, draw 29%, Puszcza Niepolomice 24%.
How many goals are expected in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
The model expects 2.44 goals (MKP Pogon Siedlce 1.45 · Puszcza Niepolomice 0.98), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.