Football · Bulgaria First League · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Team pages: CSKA 1948 Sofia · CSKA Sofia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

CSKA 1948 Sofia1

CSKA Sofia1.52

1X2

24% 28% 48%

CSKA 1948 Sofia Draw CSKA Sofia

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CSKA 1948 Sofia 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWLWW

CSKA Sofia 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDWWD

Head-to-head

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1–2–3 CSKA Sofia (6 last)

CSKA Sofia1-1CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSKA 1948 Sofia0-1CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948 Sofia0-2CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia2-0CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSKA Sofia0-1CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSKA Sofia2-2CSKA 1948 Sofia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSKA 1948 Sofia 1531 · CSKA Sofia 1575

	CSKA 1948 Sofia	Draw	CSKA Sofia
Our model	24%	28%	48%
Market	24%	27%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Sofia (rating 1531 vs 1575).
H2H favours CSKA Sofia: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSKA 1948 Sofia	CSKA Sofia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	2.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	3.5 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.40

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:54 +1’	3.80	3.40	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA 1948 Sofia 1–2–3 CSKA Sofia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Bulgaria First League	CSKA Sofia	1-1 HT 0-1	CSKA 1948 Sofia
08/05/26 Bulgaria First League	CSKA 1948 Sofia	0-1 HT 0-0	CSKA Sofia
14/02/26 Bulgaria First League	CSKA 1948 Sofia	0-2 HT 0-1	CSKA Sofia
10/02/26 Bulgaria Cup	CSKA Sofia	2-0 HT 1-0	CSKA 1948 Sofia
24/08/25 Bulgaria First League	CSKA Sofia	0-1 HT 0-1	CSKA 1948 Sofia
07/12/24 Bulgaria First League	CSKA Sofia	2-2 HT 0-2	CSKA 1948 Sofia

Standings · Bulgaria First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	24
3	Ludogorets Razgrad	9	7	2	0	16	7	23
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	10	7	1	2	19	10	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	8
11	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSKA 1948 Sofia	CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia	2-1 W	0-0 D
Dunav Ruse	2-1 W	2-1 W
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2-0 W	1-1 D
Septemvri Sofia	0-1 L	3-0 W
Cherno More Varna	4-1 W	3-1 W
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	3-1 W	2-0 W
Arda Kardzhali	2-1 W	4-1 W
Botev Vratsa	2-1 W	5-0 W
Spartak Varna	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 1 L	6 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSKA 1948 Sofia

DWWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
12/09	Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
05/09	Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
28/08	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League	1-0	2-0	0	4	W
23/08	Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
14/08	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League	1-1	4-1	7	2	W
08/08	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	3-1	5	5	W
31/07	Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League	1-1	2-1	2	2	W
25/07	Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
17/07	Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League	0-2	2-2	5	3	D

CSKA Sofia

DWWWWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League	1-1	1-1	12	5	D
16/09	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
12/09	Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League	1-1	4-1	4	6	W
05/09	Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
30/08	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League	2-1	3-1	0	8	W
16/08	Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League	2-0	5-0	7	5	W
09/08	Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
02/08	Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
27/07	Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League	1-1	3-2	17	5	W
20/07	Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-0	11	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSKA Sofia win (48%). Probabilities: CSKA 1948 Sofia 24%, draw 28%, CSKA Sofia 48%.

How many goals are expected in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

The model expects 2.52 goals (CSKA 1948 Sofia 1 · CSKA Sofia 1.52), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.