Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 06/11, 00:00

Prediction: Necaxa (W) vs Atlas (W)

Team pages: Necaxa (W) · Atlas (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Necaxa (W)0.93
Atlas (W)2.43
1X2
12% 18% 70%
Necaxa (W) Draw Atlas (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Necaxa (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Atlas (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWDWLDWL
Head-to-head
Necaxa (W) 0–6 Atlas (W) (6 last)
  • Atlas (W)3-2Necaxa (W)
  • Necaxa (W)0-1Atlas (W)
  • Atlas (W)4-1Necaxa (W)
  • Necaxa (W)0-1Atlas (W)
  • Atlas (W)3-2Necaxa (W)
  • Necaxa (W)0-1Atlas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Necaxa (W) 1358 · Atlas (W) 1488
Necaxa (W)DrawAtlas (W)
Our model12%19%70%
Market12%18%70%
Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlas (W) (rating 1358 vs 1488).
  • H2H favours Atlas (W): 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Necaxa (W)Atlas (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.2 / 4.51 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 1.80.3 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/20/80%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)0.7 / 2.11.3 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 03.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa (W) 0–0–6 Atlas (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)3-2
HT 3-0
Necaxa (W)
21/09/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Atlas (W)
12/02/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)4-1
HT 3-0
Necaxa (W)
27/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Atlas (W)
26/01/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)3-2
HT 2-0
Necaxa (W)
16/10/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Atlas (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 131111 601234
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 131003 321330
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 13616 242619
4 Unam Pumas (W) 13526 202417
5 Pachuca (W) 13517 251716
6 Atlas (W) 13445 132716
7 Tijuana (W) 13328 162911
8 Puebla (W) 131111 16444
9 Necaxa (W) 130013 4530

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNecaxa (W)Atlas (W)
Chivas Guadalajara (W) 0-7 L 0-4 L
Atletico San Luis (W) 0-2 L 1-6 L
Puebla (W) 1-4 L 2-1 W
Club America (W) 0-7 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atlas (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Necaxa (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-3 12 L
25/10 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-5 10 L
21/10 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 0-7 22 L
04/10 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 56 L
29/09 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-4 12 L
19/09 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-10 02 L
13/09 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 03 L
06/09 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 25 L
30/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-4 1-4 76 L
24/08 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-5 0-7 –– L

Atlas (W)

WLLWDWLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-5 0-7 41 L
27/10 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-1 33 W
23/10 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-1 62 D
18/10 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 47 L
26/09 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 44 W
20/09 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-2 12 D
12/09 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 36 W
05/09 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-4 32 L
31/08 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-6 1-6 35 L
25/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-0 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Necaxa (W) vs Atlas (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atlas (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Necaxa (W) 12%, draw 18%, Atlas (W) 70%.

How many goals are expected in Necaxa (W) vs Atlas (W)?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Necaxa (W) 0.93 · Atlas (W) 2.43), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Necaxa (W) vs Atlas (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.