Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 03/11, 02:06
Prediction: Leon (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)
Team pages: Leon (W) · Atletico San Luis (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Leon (W)2.1
Atletico San Luis (W)1.35
1X2
Leon (W)
Draw
Atletico San Luis (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Leon (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico San Luis (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leon (W)
3–1–2
Atletico San Luis (W)
(6 last)
- Leon (W)1-2Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-3Leon (W)
- Leon (W)0-1Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)2-2Leon (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-2Leon (W)
- Leon (W)3-0Atletico San Luis (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leon (W) 1502 · Atletico San Luis (W) 1518
| Leon (W) | Draw | Atletico San Luis (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Leon (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leon (W) | Atletico San Luis (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 70/0/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.1 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leon (W) 3–1–2 Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 16/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Leon (W) |
| 12/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 08/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Leon (W) |
| 04/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Leon (W) |
| 18/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 17 |
| 5 | Pachuca (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leon (W) | Atletico San Luis (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Atlas (W) | 1-1 D | 6-1 W |
| Club America (W) | 0-5 L | 0-7 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Pachuca (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Puebla (W) | 5-2 W | 5-2 W |
| Queretaro (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico San Luis (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/10 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 20/10 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/10 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leon (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leon (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Leon (W) 54%, draw 23%, Atletico San Luis (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Leon (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Leon (W) 2.1 · Atletico San Luis (W) 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Leon (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.