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Football · Argentina Championship Women · 30/09, 20:00

Prediction: River Plate (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)

Team pages: River Plate (W) · Boca Juniors (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
River Plate (W)1.13
Boca Juniors (W)1.18
1X2
33% 31% 36%
River Plate (W) Draw Boca Juniors (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
River Plate (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLLWWWDD
Boca Juniors (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWWDLWWW
Head-to-head
River Plate (W) 1–1–4 Boca Juniors (W) (6 last)
  • Boca Juniors (W)0-1River Plate (W)
  • Boca Juniors (W)2-2River Plate (W)
  • Boca Juniors (W)4-1River Plate (W)
  • River Plate (W)0-2Boca Juniors (W)
  • River Plate (W)1-3Boca Juniors (W)
  • Boca Juniors (W)3-0River Plate (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · River Plate (W) 1544 · Boca Juniors (W) 1541
River Plate (W)DrawBoca Juniors (W)
Our model33%31%36%
Market33%32%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Boca Juniors (W): 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

River Plate (W)Boca Juniors (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.11.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/38/25%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 42.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.33.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · River Plate (W) 1–1–4 Boca Juniors (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/05/26
Argentina Championship Women
Boca Juniors (W)0-1
HT 0-0
River Plate (W)
15/02/25
Argentina Championship Women
Boca Juniors (W)2-2
HT 2-1
River Plate (W)
21/11/24
Argentina Championship Women
Boca Juniors (W)4-1
HT 2-1
River Plate (W)
10/03/24
Argentina Championship Women
River Plate (W)0-2
HT 0-1
Boca Juniors (W)
15/09/23
Argentina Championship Women
River Plate (W)1-3
HT 0-2
Boca Juniors (W)
02/04/23
Argentina Championship Women
Boca Juniors (W)3-0
HT 1-0
River Plate (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Luis FC (W) 10802 201124
2 Banfield (W) 10631 17821
3 Boca Juniors (W) 9612 14719
4 CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) 9531 14618
5 Belgrano (W) 10523 18917
6 San Lorenzo (W) 9441 14716
7 Social Atletico Television (W) 10442 10716
8 Lanus (W) 9423 8814
9 Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 9414 161613
10 River Plate (W) 6321 10411
11 Racing Club (W) 9324 141011
12 Union Santa Fe (W) 10235 9189
13 CA Independiente Women 10307 12249
14 Huracan (W) 10217 8167
15 Gimnasia LP (W) 10118 4184
16 Newell's Old Boys (W) 10019 4231

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRiver Plate (W)Boca Juniors (W)
Racing Club (W) 1-1 D 2-1 W
Union Santa Fe (W) 3-1 W 3-0 W
CA Independiente Women 1-0 W 2-1 W
Huracan (W) 0-1 L 2-1 W
Belgrano (W) 1-2 L 0-2 L
Banfield (W) 4-1 W 0-0 D
Gimnasia LP (W) 2-4 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

River Plate (W)

LWWLLWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Racing Club (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 0-1 1-1 35 D
23/09 Lanus (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 0-0 0-0 22 D
16/08 San Luis FC (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 2-1 5-1 63 W
09/08 Union Santa Fe (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 1-0 3-1 62 W
03/08 CA Independiente Women
Argentina Championship Women
 0-0 1-0 26 W
28/07 Huracan (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 0-0 0-1 10 L
17/07 Belgrano (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 – 1-2 –– L
13/07 Social Atletico Television (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 1-0 3-0 61 W
08/07 Banfield (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 – 4-1 –– W
04/07 Gimnasia LP (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 0-2 2-4 67 L

Boca Juniors (W)

DLWWWDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Union Santa Fe (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 2-0 3-0 54 W
19/09 CA Independiente Women
Argentina Championship Women
 0-1 2-1 84 W
12/09 Huracan (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 2-1 2-1 44 W
05/09 Belgrano (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 0-1 0-2 92 L
22/08 Banfield (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 0-0 0-0 81 D
16/08 Gimnasia LP (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 0-0 2-0 14 W
08/08 Newell's Old Boys (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 1-0 2-0 63 W
03/08 Racing Club (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 0-1 2-1 36 W
27/07 San Lorenzo (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 1-1 1-2 64 L
22/07 CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)
Argentina Championship Women
 – 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in River Plate (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Boca Juniors (W) win (36%). Probabilities: River Plate (W) 33%, draw 31%, Boca Juniors (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in River Plate (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?

The model expects 2.32 goals (River Plate (W) 1.13 · Boca Juniors (W) 1.18), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in River Plate (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.