Football · Hungary NB III · 27/09, 18:00

Prediction: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Papai Perutz

Team pages: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE · Papai Perutz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE2.61

Papai Perutz0.94

1X2

73% 17% 11%

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Draw Papai Perutz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWWWD

Papai Perutz 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLWLLD

Head-to-head

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1–1–0 Papai Perutz (2 last)

Papai Perutz1-1Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE2-0Papai Perutz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1601 · Papai Perutz 1445

	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	Draw	Papai Perutz
Our model	72%	17%	11%
Market	73%	16%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (rating 1601 vs 1445).
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	Papai Perutz
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.2	2 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	6.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.50

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.98

2 (+2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:26 +2’	1.22	5.50	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1–1–0 Papai Perutz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Hungary NB III	Papai Perutz	1-1 HT 1-1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
09/11/25 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	2-0 HT 0-0	Papai Perutz

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	8	6	2	0	24	7	20
2	Dorogi FC	8	6	1	1	26	6	19
3	FC Tatabanya	8	5	2	1	20	7	17
4	Bicskei TC	8	5	0	3	19	15	15
5	Sarisapi BSE	8	5	0	3	14	14	15
6	MTE 1904	8	4	3	1	14	7	15
7	Komarom VSE	8	3	3	2	11	9	12
8	Györi ETO II	8	3	2	3	11	9	11
9	SC Sopron	8	3	2	3	11	12	11
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	8	3	1	4	14	14	10
11	Puskas Academy II	8	3	0	5	14	17	9
12	Veszprem FC	8	2	2	4	13	20	8
13	Papai Perutz	8	2	2	4	7	14	8
14	Kiraly SZE	8	1	2	5	8	16	5
15	Balatonalmadi SE	8	1	0	7	7	26	3
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	8	0	2	6	4	24	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	Papai Perutz
Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-1 D	1-0 W
Komarom VSE	1-0 W	2-4 L
1908 SZAC Budapest	6-1 W	2-1 W
Veszprem FC	4-2 W	1-1 D
Kiraly SZE	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

WDDWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
30/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	11	4	W
26/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-2	4-2	9	1	W
15/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
12/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	8	3	W
09/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	3	2	W
26/07	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
24/05	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	11	8	D
17/05	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	7	4	W

Papai Perutz

LDLWDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-5	2	7	L
26/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	–	2-4	–	–	L
12/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
08/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	4	11	W
25/07	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	1	8	D
17/05	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-3	0-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Papai Perutz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE win (73%). Probabilities: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 73%, draw 17%, Papai Perutz 11%.

How many goals are expected in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Papai Perutz?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 2.61 · Papai Perutz 0.94), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Papai Perutz?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.