Football · Hungary NB III · 03/10, 13:00
Prediction: MTE 1904 vs Puskas Academy II
Team pages: MTE 1904 · Puskas Academy II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
MTE 19041.85
Puskas Academy II1.22
1X2
MTE 1904
Draw
Puskas Academy II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
MTE 1904
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Puskas Academy II
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MTE 1904
3–1–2
Puskas Academy II
(6 last)
- Puskas Academy II2-0MTE 1904
- MTE 19042-0Puskas Academy II
- MTE 19042-0Puskas Academy II
- Puskas Academy II0-1MTE 1904
- Puskas Academy II0-0MTE 1904
- Puskas Academy II2-1MTE 1904
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MTE 1904 1521 · Puskas Academy II 1474
| MTE 1904 | Draw | Puskas Academy II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MTE 1904 (rating 1521 vs 1474).
- H2H favours MTE 1904: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MTE 1904 | Puskas Academy II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MTE 1904 3–1–2 Puskas Academy II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Hungary NB III | Puskas Academy II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | MTE 1904 |
| 07/09/25 Hungary NB III | MTE 1904 | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Puskas Academy II |
| 04/05/25 Hungary NB III | MTE 1904 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Puskas Academy II |
| 20/10/24 Hungary NB III | Puskas Academy II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | MTE 1904 |
| 02/08/20 Hungary NB III | Puskas Academy II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MTE 1904 |
| 25/08/19 Hungary NB III | Puskas Academy II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | MTE 1904 |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | FC Tatabanya | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Dorogi FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Sarisapi BSE | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | Bicskei TC | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 15 |
| 6 | MTE 1904 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | Komarom VSE | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | Györi ETO II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | SC Sopron | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Puskas Academy II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | Veszprem FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
| 13 | Papai Perutz | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
| 14 | Kiraly SZE | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 6 |
| 15 | Balatonalmadi SE | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 3 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC Budapest | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MTE 1904 | Puskas Academy II |
|---|---|---|
| Dorogi FC | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Papai Perutz | 0-0 D | 5-0 W |
| Zalaegerszegi TE II | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Komarom VSE | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Balatonalmadi SE | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sarisapi BSE | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: MTE 1904 (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MTE 1904
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Dorogi FC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Papai Perutz Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Komarom VSE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/08 | 1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Veszprem FC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/08 | Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III |
2-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
Puskas Academy II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Dorogi FC Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Papai Perutz Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/08 | SC Sopron Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/08 | Komarom VSE Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Bicskei TC Hungary NB III |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Dorogi FC Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MTE 1904 vs Puskas Academy II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MTE 1904 win (51%). Probabilities: MTE 1904 51%, draw 25%, Puskas Academy II 24%.
How many goals are expected in MTE 1904 vs Puskas Academy II?
The model expects 3.08 goals (MTE 1904 1.85 · Puskas Academy II 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in MTE 1904 vs Puskas Academy II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.