Football · Hungary NB III · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Komarom VSE vs FC Tatabanya

Team pages: Komarom VSE · FC Tatabanya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Komarom VSE1.29

FC Tatabanya2.09

1X2

22% 23% 55%

Komarom VSE Draw FC Tatabanya

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Komarom VSE 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLDLDW

FC Tatabanya 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWWDWW

Head-to-head

Komarom VSE 1–1–3 FC Tatabanya (5 last)

Komarom VSE3-2FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya3-1Komarom VSE
Komarom VSE1-1FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya2-1Komarom VSE
Komarom VSE1-2FC Tatabanya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Komarom VSE 1513 · FC Tatabanya 1560

	Komarom VSE	Draw	FC Tatabanya
Our model	22%	23%	55%
Market	22%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tatabanya (rating 1513 vs 1560).
H2H favours FC Tatabanya: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Komarom VSE	FC Tatabanya
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	2.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.3	3.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.80

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:08 +9’	4.10	3.80	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Komarom VSE 1–1–3 FC Tatabanya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Tatabanya
27/07/25 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	3-1 HT 1-0	Komarom VSE
05/11/23 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Tatabanya
14/07/23 Europe Friendlies	FC Tatabanya	2-1 HT 0-1	Komarom VSE
27/02/22 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Tatabanya

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	8	6	2	0	24	7	20
2	FC Tatabanya	9	6	2	1	23	8	20
3	Dorogi FC	8	6	1	1	26	6	19
4	Sarisapi BSE	9	5	1	3	15	15	16
5	Bicskei TC	9	5	0	4	23	20	15
6	MTE 1904	8	4	3	1	14	7	15
7	Komarom VSE	9	4	3	2	16	13	15
8	Györi ETO II	9	4	2	3	14	10	14
9	SC Sopron	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	9	3	1	5	15	17	10
11	Puskas Academy II	8	3	0	5	14	17	9
12	Veszprem FC	9	2	3	4	14	21	9
13	Papai Perutz	8	2	2	4	7	14	8
14	Kiraly SZE	9	1	3	5	9	17	6
15	Balatonalmadi SE	8	1	0	7	7	26	3
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	9	0	2	7	5	27	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Komarom VSE	FC Tatabanya
Bicskei TC	5-4 W	3-1 W
Györi ETO II	1-1 D	1-2 L
Puskas Academy II	2-1 W	4-0 W
1908 SZAC Budapest	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tatabanya (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Komarom VSE

LDWWWLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	4-1	5-4	2	2	W
19/09	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
06/09	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
29/08	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
26/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
15/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
08/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
25/07	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	0	2	L

FC Tatabanya

WLWWDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	9	4	W
19/09	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
05/09	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
26/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
15/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
12/08	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
09/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
26/07	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
24/05	Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Komarom VSE vs FC Tatabanya?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tatabanya win (55%). Probabilities: Komarom VSE 22%, draw 23%, FC Tatabanya 55%.

How many goals are expected in Komarom VSE vs FC Tatabanya?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Komarom VSE 1.29 · FC Tatabanya 2.09), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Komarom VSE vs FC Tatabanya?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.