Football · Hungary NB III · 04/10, 18:00

Prediction: Dorogi FC vs Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Team pages: Dorogi FC · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Dorogi FC1.58

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE1.34

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Dorogi FC Draw Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dorogi FC 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dorogi FC 2–1–2 Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (5 last)

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE1-0Dorogi FC
Dorogi FC2-1Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Dorogi FC0-1Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE1-1Dorogi FC
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE1-3Dorogi FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dorogi FC 1579 · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1612

	Dorogi FC	Draw	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 15.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dorogi FC	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.6	2.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 8	3.8 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.6	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +9’	2.10	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorogi FC 2–1–2 Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	1-0 HT 0-0	Dorogi FC
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
11/05/25 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
26/10/24 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	1-1 HT 0-1	Dorogi FC
05/11/23 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	1-3 HT 0-3	Dorogi FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	9	7	2	0	28	7	23
2	Dorogi FC	9	7	1	1	27	6	22
3	FC Tatabanya	9	6	2	1	23	8	20
4	Sarisapi BSE	9	5	1	3	15	15	16
5	Bicskei TC	9	5	0	4	23	20	15
6	MTE 1904	9	4	3	2	14	8	15
7	Komarom VSE	9	4	3	2	16	13	15
8	Györi ETO II	9	4	2	3	14	10	14
9	SC Sopron	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	9	3	1	5	15	17	10
11	Puskas Academy II	9	3	1	5	15	18	10
12	Veszprem FC	9	2	3	4	14	21	9
13	Papai Perutz	9	2	2	5	7	18	8
14	Kiraly SZE	9	1	3	5	9	17	6
15	Balatonalmadi SE	9	1	1	7	8	27	4
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	9	0	2	7	5	27	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dorogi FC	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Papai Perutz	2-1 W	4-0 W
Zalaegerszegi TE II	2-4 L	1-1 D
Komarom VSE	1-0 W	1-0 W
1908 SZAC Budapest	7-0 W	6-1 W
Kiraly SZE	0-0 D	3-0 W
Veszprem FC	6-0 W	4-2 W
Balatonalmadi SE	4-1 W	6-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dorogi FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/09	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	13	3	W
29/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
26/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
16/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	–	7-0	–	–	W
12/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
08/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	16	4	W
25/07	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
24/05	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
19/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
30/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	11	4	W
26/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-2	4-2	9	1	W
15/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
12/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	8	3	W
09/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	3	2	W
26/07	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
24/05	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	11	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dorogi FC vs Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorogi FC win (42%). Probabilities: Dorogi FC 42%, draw 26%, Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 32%.

How many goals are expected in Dorogi FC vs Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Dorogi FC 1.58 · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dorogi FC vs Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.