Football · Hungary NB III · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: Papai Perutz vs Györi ETO II

Team pages: Papai Perutz · Györi ETO II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Papai Perutz1.12

Györi ETO II1.82

1X2

23% 24% 53%

Papai Perutz Draw Györi ETO II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Papai Perutz 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLLDL

Györi ETO II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWLDDW

Head-to-head

Papai Perutz 3–0 Györi ETO II (3 last)

Györi ETO II2-3Papai Perutz
Papai Perutz3-0Györi ETO II
Györi ETO II0-2Papai Perutz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Papai Perutz 1462 · Györi ETO II 1510

	Papai Perutz	Draw	Györi ETO II
Our model	22%	25%	53%
Market	24%	22%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Györi ETO II (rating 1462 vs 1510).
H2H favours Papai Perutz: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Papai Perutz	Györi ETO II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/56/33%	22/67/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.5	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.00

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +16’	3.80	4.00	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Papai Perutz 3–0–0 Györi ETO II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	Györi ETO II	2-3 HT 1-2	Papai Perutz
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	Papai Perutz	3-0 HT 1-0	Györi ETO II
28/11/21 Hungary NB III	Györi ETO II	0-2 HT 0-1	Papai Perutz

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	9	7	2	0	28	7	23
2	Dorogi FC	9	7	1	1	27	6	22
3	FC Tatabanya	9	6	2	1	23	8	20
4	Sarisapi BSE	9	5	1	3	15	15	16
5	Bicskei TC	9	5	0	4	23	20	15
6	MTE 1904	9	4	3	2	14	8	15
7	Komarom VSE	9	4	3	2	16	13	15
8	Györi ETO II	9	4	2	3	14	10	14
9	SC Sopron	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	9	3	1	5	15	17	10
11	Puskas Academy II	9	3	1	5	15	18	10
12	Veszprem FC	9	2	3	4	14	21	9
13	Papai Perutz	9	2	2	5	7	18	8
14	Kiraly SZE	9	1	3	5	9	17	6
15	Balatonalmadi SE	9	1	1	7	8	27	4
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	9	0	2	7	5	27	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Papai Perutz	Györi ETO II
Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-0 W	3-1 W
Komarom VSE	2-4 L	1-1 D
Veszprem FC	1-1 D	2-3 L
1908 SZAC Budapest	2-1 W	0-0 D
Kiraly SZE	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Györi ETO II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Papai Perutz

DLWDLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
19/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-5	2	7	L
26/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	–	2-4	–	–	L
12/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
08/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	1	8	D

Györi ETO II

WWLLWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	1	4	W
19/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	13	2	D
29/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	9	4	L
26/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
16/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/07	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
22/05	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	1-1	3-2	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Papai Perutz vs Györi ETO II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Györi ETO II win (53%). Probabilities: Papai Perutz 23%, draw 24%, Györi ETO II 53%.

How many goals are expected in Papai Perutz vs Györi ETO II?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Papai Perutz 1.12 · Györi ETO II 1.82), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Papai Perutz vs Györi ETO II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.