Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 26/09, 10:00

Prediction: Siwelele FC Reserves vs Sekhukhune United Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Siwelele FC Reserves1.83

Sekhukhune United Reserves1.1

1X2

54% 25% 22%

Siwelele FC Reserves Draw Sekhukhune United Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Siwelele FC Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Sekhukhune United Reserves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Siwelele FC Reserves 1–1–0 Sekhukhune United Reserves (2 last)

Siwelele FC Reserves2-1Sekhukhune United Reserves
Sekhukhune United Reserves0-0Siwelele FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siwelele FC Reserves 1493 · Sekhukhune United Reserves 1515

	Siwelele FC Reserves	Draw	Sekhukhune United Reserves
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Siwelele FC Reserves	Sekhukhune United Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.70

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +13’	1.67	3.70	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Siwelele FC Reserves 1–1–0 Sekhukhune United Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Siwelele FC Reserves	2-1 HT 0-1	Sekhukhune United Reserves
26/10/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Sekhukhune United Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Siwelele FC Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amazulu Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chippa United Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Durban City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Golden Arrows Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	?	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Marumo Gallants Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	?	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Orlando Pirates Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polokwane City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Richards Bay FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sekhukhune United Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Siwelele FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TS Galaxy Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Siwelele FC Reserves	Sekhukhune United Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2-3 L	2-1 W
Golden Arrows Reserves	0-1 L	2-2 D
Magesi FC Reserves	1-1 D	3-0 W
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	1-1 D	0-0 D
Marumo Gallants Reserves	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sekhukhune United Reserves (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siwelele FC Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-3	3	3	L
02/05	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
25/04	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
19/04	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
11/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
28/03	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
21/03	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
14/03	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-5	4	7	L
08/03	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
28/02	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	3-1	6	3	W

Sekhukhune United Reserves

DWLDWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
02/05	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
25/04	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	4-0	1	2	W
18/04	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
12/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
28/03	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	3-0	4	5	W
21/03	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
14/03	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	14	4	L
07/03	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/02	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siwelele FC Reserves vs Sekhukhune United Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Siwelele FC Reserves win (54%). Probabilities: Siwelele FC Reserves 54%, draw 25%, Sekhukhune United Reserves 22%.

How many goals are expected in Siwelele FC Reserves vs Sekhukhune United Reserves?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Siwelele FC Reserves 1.83 · Sekhukhune United Reserves 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Siwelele FC Reserves vs Sekhukhune United Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.