Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 03/10, 12:00

Prediction: Amazulu Reserves vs Richards Bay FC Reserves

Team pages: Amazulu Reserves · Richards Bay FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Amazulu Reserves1.45

Richards Bay FC Reserves1.32

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Amazulu Reserves Draw Richards Bay FC Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Amazulu Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWWLW

Richards Bay FC Reserves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Amazulu Reserves 2–1–3 Richards Bay FC Reserves (6 last)

Richards Bay FC Reserves2-1Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves1-1Richards Bay FC Reserves
Amazulu Reserves4-0Richards Bay FC Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves2-1Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves1-0Richards Bay FC Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves1-0Amazulu Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amazulu Reserves 1493 · Richards Bay FC Reserves 1527

	Amazulu Reserves	Draw	Richards Bay FC Reserves
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Richards Bay FC Reserves: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Amazulu Reserves	Richards Bay FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.4	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.36
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.91 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:57	2.30	3.20	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:56 +1’	2.36	2.91	2.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Amazulu Reserves 2–1–3 Richards Bay FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	2-1	Amazulu Reserves
15/03/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	1-1 HT 1-1	Richards Bay FC Reserves
09/03/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	4-0 HT 1-0	Richards Bay FC Reserves
19/01/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	2-1 HT 0-1	Amazulu Reserves
14/04/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	Richards Bay FC Reserves
26/11/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	1-0 HT 0-0	Amazulu Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amazulu Reserves	2	2	0	4	0	6
2	TS Galaxy Reserves	2	2	0	2	0	6
3	Orlando Pirates Reserves	2	1	1	6	4	3
4	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	1	1	0	4	2	3
5	Kruger United Reserves	1	1	0	2	0	3
6	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	1	1	0	3	2	3
7	Siwelele FC Reserves	2	1	1	2	1	3
8	Sekhukhune United Reserves	1	1	0	1	0	3
9	Richards Bay FC Reserves	2	1	1	2	2	3
10	Chippa United Reserves	2	1	1	2	3	3
11	Polokwane City Reserves	1	0	1	0	1	0
12	Golden Arrows Reserves	1	0	1	0	2	0
12	Marumo Gallants Reserves	1	0	1	0	2	0
12	Milford FC Reserves	1	0	1	0	2	0
15	Durban City Reserves	2	0	2	2	5	0
16	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amazulu Reserves	Richards Bay FC Reserves
TS Galaxy Reserves	0-1 L	0-1 L
Chippa United Reserves	2-1 W	2-1 W
Orlando Pirates Reserves	1-2 L	0-1 L
Sekhukhune United Reserves	1-3 L	4-0 W
Polokwane City Reserves	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Richards Bay FC Reserves (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amazulu Reserves

DWLLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-0	0	6	W
09/05	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
02/05	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
26/04	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
18/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	0	6	L
12/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
04/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/03	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
22/03	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
15/03	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	2	6	D

Richards Bay FC Reserves

DLWWLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
09/05	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
03/05	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
26/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
19/04	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
04/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/03	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
22/03	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
15/03	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amazulu Reserves vs Richards Bay FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Amazulu Reserves win (39%). Probabilities: Amazulu Reserves 39%, draw 28%, Richards Bay FC Reserves 33%.

How many goals are expected in Amazulu Reserves vs Richards Bay FC Reserves?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Amazulu Reserves 1.45 · Richards Bay FC Reserves 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Amazulu Reserves vs Richards Bay FC Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.