Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 03/10, 10:00

Prediction: Orlando Pirates Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Team pages: Orlando Pirates Reserves · Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Orlando Pirates Reserves1.9

Stellenbosch FC Reserves1.29

1X2

50% 25% 25%

Orlando Pirates Reserves Draw Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Orlando Pirates Reserves 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWL

Stellenbosch FC Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Orlando Pirates Reserves 4–2 Stellenbosch FC Reserves (6 last)

Stellenbosch FC Reserves0-1Orlando Pirates Reserves
Orlando Pirates Reserves3-0Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Orlando Pirates Reserves3-1Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves1-2Orlando Pirates Reserves
Orlando Pirates Reserves0-1Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves1-0Orlando Pirates Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orlando Pirates Reserves 1581 · Stellenbosch FC Reserves 1483

	Orlando Pirates Reserves	Draw	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pirates Reserves (rating 1581 vs 1483).
H2H favours Orlando Pirates Reserves: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orlando Pirates Reserves	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.7	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.2	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.7	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.50

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:29 +3’	1.80	3.50	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pirates Reserves 4–0–2 Stellenbosch FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pirates Reserves
18/10/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3-0 HT 2-0	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
01/03/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3-1 HT 1-0	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
03/11/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	1-2 HT 0-0	Orlando Pirates Reserves
14/04/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
27/01/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	1-0 HT 0-0	Orlando Pirates Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amazulu Reserves	2	2	0	4	0	6
2	TS Galaxy Reserves	2	2	0	2	0	6
3	Orlando Pirates Reserves	2	1	1	6	4	3
4	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	1	1	0	4	2	3
5	Kruger United Reserves	1	1	0	2	0	3
6	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	1	1	0	3	2	3
7	Siwelele FC Reserves	2	1	1	2	1	3
8	Sekhukhune United Reserves	1	1	0	1	0	3
9	Richards Bay FC Reserves	2	1	1	2	2	3
10	Chippa United Reserves	2	1	1	2	3	3
11	Polokwane City Reserves	1	0	1	0	1	0
12	Golden Arrows Reserves	1	0	1	0	2	0
12	Marumo Gallants Reserves	1	0	1	0	2	0
12	Milford FC Reserves	1	0	1	0	2	0
15	Durban City Reserves	2	0	2	2	5	0
16	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orlando Pirates Reserves	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	2-3 L	2-0 W
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2-0 W	0-1 L
Chippa United Reserves	2-0 W	1-2 L
Siwelele FC Reserves	5-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Orlando Pirates Reserves (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orlando Pirates Reserves

WWLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-3	2-3	4	6	L
09/05	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	2-0	1	1	W
02/05	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	9	8	W
25/04	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
18/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-1	9	6	W
12/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
04/04	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
29/03	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
22/03	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	3-0	7	5	W
14/03	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	5-0	12	7	W

Stellenbosch FC Reserves

DWLLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
09/05	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-2	7	3	W
02/05	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
26/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
18/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
11/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
04/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
28/03	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	1-5	4	1	L
22/03	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/03	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	4-4	4	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orlando Pirates Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pirates Reserves win (50%). Probabilities: Orlando Pirates Reserves 50%, draw 25%, Stellenbosch FC Reserves 25%.

How many goals are expected in Orlando Pirates Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Orlando Pirates Reserves 1.9 · Stellenbosch FC Reserves 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.