Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 04/10, 12:00
Prediction: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
Team pages: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves · Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves1.74
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves1.61
1X2
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
Draw
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
1–2–3
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
(6 last)
- Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves2-0Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
- Kaizer Chiefs Reserves2-0Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
- Kaizer Chiefs Reserves0-2Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
- Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves2-2Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
- Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves2-2Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
- Kaizer Chiefs Reserves0-1Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 1559 · Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves 1592
| Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | Draw | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.3 | 2.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 78/11/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 1–2–3 Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 South Africa Diski Challenge | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves |
| 18/01/26 South Africa Diski Challenge | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves |
| 08/02/25 South Africa Diski Challenge | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves |
| 23/11/24 South Africa Diski Challenge | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves |
| 21/04/24 South Africa Diski Challenge | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves |
| 15/10/23 South Africa Diski Challenge | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves |
Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amazulu Reserves | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | TS Galaxy Reserves | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Orlando Pirates Reserves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Kruger United Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Siwelele FC Reserves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sekhukhune United Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Richards Bay FC Reserves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Chippa United Reserves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Polokwane City Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Golden Arrows Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Marumo Gallants Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Milford FC Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Durban City Reserves | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Stellenbosch FC Reserves | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates Reserves | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Chippa United Reserves | 11-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Stellenbosch FC Reserves | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Polokwane City Reserves | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
3-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
3-0 | 11-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
3-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/04 | Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
2-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
4-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaizer Chiefs Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 40%, draw 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves 35%.
How many goals are expected in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 1.74 · Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves 1.61), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.