Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 04/10, 10:00
Prediction: Polokwane City Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves
Team pages: Polokwane City Reserves · Golden Arrows Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Polokwane City Reserves1.1
Golden Arrows Reserves1.46
1X2
Polokwane City Reserves
Draw
Golden Arrows Reserves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Polokwane City Reserves
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Golden Arrows Reserves
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polokwane City Reserves
1–2–3
Golden Arrows Reserves
(6 last)
- Polokwane City Reserves1-3Golden Arrows Reserves
- Golden Arrows Reserves0-0Polokwane City Reserves
- Golden Arrows Reserves2-1Polokwane City Reserves
- Polokwane City Reserves3-1Golden Arrows Reserves
- Golden Arrows Reserves2-2Polokwane City Reserves
- Golden Arrows Reserves4-3Polokwane City Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polokwane City Reserves 1406 · Golden Arrows Reserves 1470
| Polokwane City Reserves | Draw | Golden Arrows Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 29% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Golden Arrows Reserves (rating 1406 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Golden Arrows Reserves: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polokwane City Reserves | Golden Arrows Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/13/75% | 11/67/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polokwane City Reserves 1–2–3 Golden Arrows Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 South Africa Diski Challenge | Polokwane City Reserves | 1-3 | Golden Arrows Reserves |
| 17/01/26 South Africa Diski Challenge | Golden Arrows Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Polokwane City Reserves |
| 19/04/25 South Africa Diski Challenge | Golden Arrows Reserves | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Polokwane City Reserves |
| 06/10/24 South Africa Diski Challenge | Polokwane City Reserves | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Golden Arrows Reserves |
| 23/09/23 South Africa Diski Challenge | Golden Arrows Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Polokwane City Reserves |
| 09/02/20 South Africa Diski Challenge | Golden Arrows Reserves | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Polokwane City Reserves |
Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amazulu Reserves | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | TS Galaxy Reserves | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Orlando Pirates Reserves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Kruger United Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Siwelele FC Reserves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sekhukhune United Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Richards Bay FC Reserves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Chippa United Reserves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Polokwane City Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Golden Arrows Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Marumo Gallants Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Milford FC Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Durban City Reserves | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Stellenbosch FC Reserves | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Polokwane City Reserves | Golden Arrows Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| TS Galaxy Reserves | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Kaizer Chiefs Reserves | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Amazulu Reserves | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Sekhukhune United Reserves | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Golden Arrows Reserves (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polokwane City Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 12/04 | Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Golden Arrows Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
1-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polokwane City Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Golden Arrows Reserves win (45%). Probabilities: Polokwane City Reserves 28%, draw 28%, Golden Arrows Reserves 45%.
How many goals are expected in Polokwane City Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Polokwane City Reserves 1.1 · Golden Arrows Reserves 1.46), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Polokwane City Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.