Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Chippa United Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Chippa United Reserves1.11

Stellenbosch FC Reserves2.31

1X2

17% 20% 64%

Chippa United Reserves Draw Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Chippa United Reserves 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDLLLL

Stellenbosch FC Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Chippa United Reserves 0–6 Stellenbosch FC Reserves (6 last)

Stellenbosch FC Reserves1-0Chippa United Reserves
Chippa United Reserves1-2Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves4-1Chippa United Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves2-0Chippa United Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves2-1Chippa United Reserves
Chippa United Reserves0-1Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chippa United Reserves 1402 · Stellenbosch FC Reserves 1515

	Chippa United Reserves	Draw	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Our model	16%	21%	63%
Market	17%	19%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stellenbosch FC Reserves (rating 1402 vs 1515).
H2H favours Stellenbosch FC Reserves: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chippa United Reserves	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.9	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/38/63%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.3	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.80

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)2.00

2 (-1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.80 → 4.80	Bet365 4.80
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:22 +5’	5.25	4.80	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chippa United Reserves 0–0–6 Stellenbosch FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	1-0 HT 0-0	Chippa United Reserves
17/01/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Chippa United Reserves	1-2	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
29/09/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	4-1 HT 2-0	Chippa United Reserves
09/09/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2-0 HT 0-0	Chippa United Reserves
01/04/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2-1 HT 2-0	Chippa United Reserves
16/07/22 South Africa Diski Shield	Chippa United Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amazulu Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chippa United Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Durban City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Golden Arrows Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	?	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Marumo Gallants Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	?	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Orlando Pirates Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polokwane City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Richards Bay FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sekhukhune United Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Siwelele FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TS Galaxy Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chippa United Reserves	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	0-11 L	2-0 W
Orlando Pirates Reserves	0-2 L	0-1 L
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2-3 L	0-1 L
Richards Bay FC Reserves	1-2 L	1-1 D
Sekhukhune United Reserves	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Stellenbosch FC Reserves (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chippa United Reserves

WLLLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-3	0-11	1	0	L
02/05	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-2	2	8	L
26/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
18/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	2-3	0	3	L
12/04	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/03	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
22/03	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
15/03	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
07/03	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-4	–	–	L
28/02	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-2	3	5	W

Stellenbosch FC Reserves

DDWLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-2	7	3	W
02/05	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
26/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
18/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
11/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
04/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
28/03	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	1-5	4	1	L
22/03	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/03	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	4-4	4	8	D
07/03	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-1	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chippa United Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stellenbosch FC Reserves win (64%). Probabilities: Chippa United Reserves 17%, draw 20%, Stellenbosch FC Reserves 64%.

How many goals are expected in Chippa United Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Chippa United Reserves 1.11 · Stellenbosch FC Reserves 2.31), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chippa United Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.