Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Amazulu Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Amazulu Reserves1.53

Golden Arrows Reserves1.49

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Amazulu Reserves Draw Golden Arrows Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Amazulu Reserves 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLWWL

Golden Arrows Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Amazulu Reserves 2–2–2 Golden Arrows Reserves (6 last)

Amazulu Reserves0-2Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves1-1Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves2-1Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves1-3Amazulu Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves2-0Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves1-1Golden Arrows Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amazulu Reserves 1457 · Golden Arrows Reserves 1497

	Amazulu Reserves	Draw	Golden Arrows Reserves
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Golden Arrows Reserves (rating 1457 vs 1497).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Amazulu Reserves	Golden Arrows Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/38/38%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.8	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +4’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Amazulu Reserves 2–2–2 Golden Arrows Reserves

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	0-2 HT 0-0	Golden Arrows Reserves
15/11/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	1-1 HT 0-1	Amazulu Reserves
23/03/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	2-1 HT 1-0	Golden Arrows Reserves
28/09/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	1-3 HT 0-2	Amazulu Reserves
23/03/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Amazulu Reserves
10/09/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	1-1 HT 1-0	Golden Arrows Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amazulu Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chippa United Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Durban City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Golden Arrows Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	?	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Marumo Gallants Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	?	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Orlando Pirates Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polokwane City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Richards Bay FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sekhukhune United Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Siwelele FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TS Galaxy Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amazulu Reserves	Golden Arrows Reserves
TS Galaxy Reserves	0-1 L	3-1 W
Durban City Reserves	3-1 W	1-4 L
Orlando Pirates Reserves	1-2 L	2-1 W
Sekhukhune United Reserves	1-3 L	2-2 D
Orbit College Reserves	0-3 L	0-1 L
Polokwane City Reserves	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Golden Arrows Reserves (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amazulu Reserves

LDWLLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
02/05	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
26/04	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
18/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	0	6	L
12/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
04/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/03	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
22/03	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
15/03	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
07/03	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-5	–	–	L

Golden Arrows Reserves

WDDWLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-5	3	4	L
25/04	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
19/04	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
11/04	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-4	4	5	L
04/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
28/03	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-1	3-1	3	4	W
21/03	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
14/03	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
07/03	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amazulu Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Amazulu Reserves win (38%). Probabilities: Amazulu Reserves 38%, draw 26%, Golden Arrows Reserves 36%.

How many goals are expected in Amazulu Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Amazulu Reserves 1.53 · Golden Arrows Reserves 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Amazulu Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.