Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 03/10, 22:00
Prediction: Sportivo Italiano vs Talleres Remedios
Team pages: Sportivo Italiano · Talleres Remedios
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Sportivo Italiano0.96
Talleres Remedios1
1X2
Sportivo Italiano
Draw
Talleres Remedios
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Italiano
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Talleres Remedios
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Italiano
1–0
Talleres Remedios
(1 last)
- Talleres Remedios0-1Sportivo Italiano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Italiano 1542 · Talleres Remedios 1498
| Sportivo Italiano | Draw | Talleres Remedios | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 34% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 32% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Italiano (rating 1542 vs 1498).
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Italiano | Talleres Remedios | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 3.3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Italiano 1–0–0 Talleres Remedios
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Talleres Remedios | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 59 | 29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 21 | 63 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 27 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 43 | 28 | 62 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 38 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 57 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 38 | 33 | 53 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44 | 49 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 37 | 40 | 47 |
| 12 | CS Dock Sud | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 39 | 44 |
| 14 | Argentino Merlo | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 37 | 44 |
| 15 | Deportivo Merlo | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 36 | 51 | 43 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 41 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | Deportivo Liniers | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 39 | 40 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 45 | 38 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 24 | 37 | 38 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 36 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 18 | 33 | 31 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 37 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 23 | 59 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
Talleres Remedios
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Italiano vs Talleres Remedios?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Talleres Remedios win (34%). Probabilities: Sportivo Italiano 33%, draw 33%, Talleres Remedios 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Italiano vs Talleres Remedios?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Sportivo Italiano 0.96 · Talleres Remedios 1), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Italiano vs Talleres Remedios?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.