Football · Uruguay Segunda · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: Miramar Misiones vs Paysandu FC

Team pages: Miramar Misiones · Paysandu FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Miramar Misiones1.25
Paysandu FC1.19
1X2
37% 29% 34%
Miramar Misiones Draw Paysandu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Miramar Misiones 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLDDLWWL
Paysandu FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLDWWLDD
Head-to-head
Miramar Misiones 1–1 Paysandu FC (2 last)
  • Paysandu FC2-3Miramar Misiones
  • Paysandu FC2-0Miramar Misiones
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miramar Misiones 1460 · Paysandu FC 1505
Miramar MisionesDrawPaysandu FC
Our model37%30%33%
Market37%29%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paysandu FC (rating 1460 vs 1505).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Miramar MisionesPaysandu FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 42.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.55.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Miramar Misiones 1–0–1 Paysandu FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Uruguay Segunda
Paysandu FC2-3
HT 1-0
Miramar Misiones
27/03/26
Uruguay Segunda
Paysandu FC2-0
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMiramar MisionesPaysandu FC
Huracan DPA 1-2 L 2-3 L
Uruguay Montevideo 1-0 W 0-1 L
Club Oriental 3-1 W 2-1 W
Colon FC 0-1 L 3-2 W
CA River Plate 0-3 L 0-0 D
Tacuarembo 1-1 D 2-2 D
Plaza Colonia 0-3 L 1-1 D
La Luz 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Paysandu FC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miramar Misiones

LLDLDDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-2 64 L
19/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 710 W
12/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-1 18 W
06/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 26 L
30/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 37 D
21/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 34 D
15/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-3 34 L
09/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 47 D
02/08 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-3 49 L
27/07 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 79 L

Paysandu FC

WWLLDWWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/09 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-2 48 D
19/09 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 64 D
12/09 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
– 0-1 –– L
05/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-1 06 W
30/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 26 W
22/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-3 57 L
08/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 43 L
04/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-1 39 W
25/07 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-2 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miramar Misiones vs Paysandu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Miramar Misiones win (37%). Probabilities: Miramar Misiones 37%, draw 29%, Paysandu FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Miramar Misiones vs Paysandu FC?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Miramar Misiones 1.25 · Paysandu FC 1.19), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Miramar Misiones vs Paysandu FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.