Prediction: Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito
Team pages: Plaza Colonia · Cerrito
See it on the live radar ↗- Cerrito1-0Plaza Colonia
- Plaza Colonia1-0Cerrito
- Cerrito0-1Plaza Colonia
- Plaza Colonia1-2Cerrito
- Plaza Colonia1-3Cerrito
- Plaza Colonia3-0Cerrito
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerrito | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Colonia (rating 1555 vs 1488).
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plaza Colonia | Cerrito | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 0/44/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.9 | 6.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Colonia 3–0–3 Cerrito
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Plaza Colonia |
| 10/11/24 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cerrito |
| 20/07/24 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Plaza Colonia |
| 30/03/24 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 1-2 | Cerrito |
| 23/10/22 Uruguay Clausura | Plaza Colonia | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Cerrito |
| 26/06/22 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Plaza Colonia | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Cerrito |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Plaza Colonia | Cerrito |
|---|---|---|
| CA Atenas | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Paysandu FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Huracan DPA | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Club Oriental | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Colon FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Rentistas | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Plaza Colonia (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plaza Colonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 08/09 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 31/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 10/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Cerrito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 20/09 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 22/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 18/07 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Colonia win (43%). Probabilities: Plaza Colonia 43%, draw 30%, Cerrito 27%.
How many goals are expected in Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Plaza Colonia 1.19 · Cerrito 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.