Football · Uruguay Segunda · 05/10, 00:00

Prediction: La Luz vs CA River Plate

Team pages: La Luz · CA River Plate

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
La Luz1.09
CA River Plate0.93
1X2
37% 33% 29%
La Luz Draw CA River Plate
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
La Luz 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLLDLWLW
CA River Plate 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLWWDDLLDW
Head-to-head
La Luz 0–3–1 CA River Plate (4 last)
  • CA River Plate0-0La Luz
  • CA River Plate1-0La Luz
  • CA River Plate0-0La Luz
  • La Luz2-2CA River Plate
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La LuzCA River Plate
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/44/33%44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 7.42.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.7 / 0.45.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · La Luz 0–3–1 CA River Plate

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Uruguay Segunda
CA River Plate0-0
HT 0-0
La Luz
26/11/23
Uruguay Clausura
CA River Plate1-0
HT 0-0
La Luz
16/07/23
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
CA River Plate0-0
HT 0-0
La Luz
22/04/23
Uruguay Apertura
La Luz2-2
HT 0-1
CA River Plate

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa LuzCA River Plate
Cerrito 2-1 W 1-1 D
CA Atenas 0-1 L 2-3 L
Paysandu FC 1-0 W 0-0 D
Huracan DPA 1-3 L 2-0 W
Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 D 1-1 D
Colon FC 1-2 L 3-0 W
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0-0 D 0-1 L
Rentistas 2-5 L 0-0 D
Miramar Misiones 1-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 4 L 3 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Luz

WLDLLDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 19 W
20/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 114 L
12/09 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
– 1-0 –– W
04/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-3 98 L
29/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 87 D
23/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 96 L
17/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-2 102 L
08/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-5 912 L
27/07 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 59 W

CA River Plate

DLWWDDLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 3-0 38 W
20/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 04 D
13/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 69 L
06/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 66 L
30/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 86 D
22/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 65 D
15/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 14 W
09/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 76 W
02/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
– 0-1 –– L
18/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 76 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Luz vs CA River Plate?

According to our model, the most likely result is a La Luz win (37%). Probabilities: La Luz 37%, draw 33%, CA River Plate 29%.

How many goals are expected in La Luz vs CA River Plate?

The model expects 2.02 goals (La Luz 1.09 · CA River Plate 0.93), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in La Luz vs CA River Plate?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.