Football · Bangladesh Premier League · 02/10, 11:00
Prediction: Fakirapool Young Men's Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Fakirapool Young Men's Club0.65
Mohammedan Dhaka2.65
1X2
Fakirapool Young Men's Club
Draw
Mohammedan Dhaka
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Fakirapool Young Men's Club
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Mohammedan Dhaka
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fakirapool Young Men's Club
2–3
Mohammedan Dhaka
(5 last)
- Mohammedan Dhaka3-0Fakirapool Young Men's Club
- Fakirapool Young Men's Club2-0Mohammedan Dhaka
- Fakirapool Young Men's Club1-6Mohammedan Dhaka
- Mohammedan Dhaka5-2Fakirapool Young Men's Club
- Mohammedan Dhaka0-1Fakirapool Young Men's Club
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fakirapool Young Men's Club 1410 · Mohammedan Dhaka 1523
| Fakirapool Young Men's Club | Draw | Mohammedan Dhaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 7% | 11% | 81% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohammedan Dhaka (rating 1410 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Mohammedan Dhaka: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fakirapool Young Men's Club | Mohammedan Dhaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.7 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.7 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fakirapool Young Men's Club 2–0–3 Mohammedan Dhaka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Bangladesh Premier League | Mohammedan Dhaka | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club |
| 29/11/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Mohammedan Dhaka |
| 27/05/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 1-6 HT 0-3 | Mohammedan Dhaka |
| 31/01/25 Bangladesh Federation Cup | Mohammedan Dhaka | 5-2 HT 2-2 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club |
| 24/01/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Mohammedan Dhaka | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club |
Standings · Bangladesh Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortis FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | MSPCC City Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Bangladesh Police Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Arambagh KS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Bashundhara Kings | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Dhaka Abahani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | PWD Sports Club | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Dhaka Wanderers Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Brothers Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Chattogram City FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | Mohammedan Dhaka |
|---|---|---|
| Bashundhara Kings | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| PWD Sports Club | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Fortis FC | 1-7 L | 1-2 L |
| Dhaka Abahani | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Bangladesh Police Club | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Brothers Union | 0-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Rahmatgonj MFS | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Arambagh KS | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 7 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Mohammedan Dhaka (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fakirapool Young Men's Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Dhaka Wanderers Club Bangladesh Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
1-3 | 1-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/03 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/03 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Mohammedan Dhaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/04 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/03 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/01 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fakirapool Young Men's Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mohammedan Dhaka win (80%). Probabilities: Fakirapool Young Men's Club 7%, draw 13%, Mohammedan Dhaka 80%.
How many goals are expected in Fakirapool Young Men's Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Fakirapool Young Men's Club 0.65 · Mohammedan Dhaka 2.65), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fakirapool Young Men's Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.