Football · Bangladesh Premier League · 03/10, 11:00
Prediction: Arambagh KS vs Rahmatgonj MFS
Team pages: Arambagh KS · Rahmatgonj MFS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Arambagh KS0.92
Rahmatgonj MFS1.51
1X2
Arambagh KS
Draw
Rahmatgonj MFS
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Arambagh KS
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Rahmatgonj MFS
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arambagh KS
2–1–3
Rahmatgonj MFS
(6 last)
- Arambagh KS1-0Rahmatgonj MFS
- Rahmatgonj MFS3-0Arambagh KS
- Rahmatgonj MFS3-0Arambagh KS
- Arambagh KS1-4Rahmatgonj MFS
- Arambagh KS6-3Rahmatgonj MFS
- Rahmatgonj MFS1-1Arambagh KS
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arambagh KS 1437 · Rahmatgonj MFS 1476
| Arambagh KS | Draw | Rahmatgonj MFS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 28% | 50% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rahmatgonj MFS: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arambagh KS | Rahmatgonj MFS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.6 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arambagh KS 2–1–3 Rahmatgonj MFS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Bangladesh Premier League | Arambagh KS | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rahmatgonj MFS |
| 06/12/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Rahmatgonj MFS | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Arambagh KS |
| 27/08/21 Bangladesh Premier League | Rahmatgonj MFS | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Arambagh KS |
| 05/03/21 Bangladesh Premier League | Arambagh KS | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Rahmatgonj MFS |
| 20/07/19 Bangladesh Premier League | Arambagh KS | 6-3 HT 1-2 | Rahmatgonj MFS |
| 05/03/19 Bangladesh Premier League | Rahmatgonj MFS | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Arambagh KS |
Standings · Bangladesh Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortis FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | MSPCC City Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Bangladesh Police Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Arambagh KS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Bashundhara Kings | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Dhaka Abahani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | PWD Sports Club | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Dhaka Wanderers Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Brothers Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Chattogram City FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arambagh KS | Rahmatgonj MFS |
|---|---|---|
| Bashundhara Kings | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Dhaka Abahani | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Bangladesh Police Club | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Mohammedan Dhaka | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Brothers Union | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Fortis FC | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| PWD Sports Club | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Rahmatgonj MFS (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arambagh KS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/04 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/03 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Rahmatgonj MFS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 13/03 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 06/03 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arambagh KS vs Rahmatgonj MFS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rahmatgonj MFS win (51%). Probabilities: Arambagh KS 23%, draw 26%, Rahmatgonj MFS 51%.
How many goals are expected in Arambagh KS vs Rahmatgonj MFS?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Arambagh KS 0.92 · Rahmatgonj MFS 1.51), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Arambagh KS vs Rahmatgonj MFS?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.