Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 30/09, 20:00
Prediction: SK Roeselare vs KVV Thes Sport
Team pages: SK Roeselare · KVV Thes Sport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
SK Roeselare1.61
KVV Thes Sport1.08
1X2
SK Roeselare
Draw
KVV Thes Sport
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
SK Roeselare
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
KVV Thes Sport
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Roeselare
2–0
KVV Thes Sport
(2 last)
- SK Roeselare3-1KVV Thes Sport
- KVV Thes Sport0-1SK Roeselare
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Roeselare 1540 · KVV Thes Sport 1487
| SK Roeselare | Draw | KVV Thes Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Roeselare (rating 1540 vs 1487).
- H2H favours SK Roeselare: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Roeselare | KVV Thes Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.8 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Roeselare 2–0–0 KVV Thes Sport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | SK Roeselare | 3-1 HT 1-1 | KVV Thes Sport |
| 22/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | KVV Thes Sport | 0-1 HT 0-0 | SK Roeselare |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Tubize | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Union Rochefortoise | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 6 | RAEC Mons | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 7 | RCS Onhaye | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 8 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Standard Liege II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | ROC Charleroi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Roeselare | KVV Thes Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| KFC Merelbeke | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Diegem Sport | 2-2 D | 6-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Roeselare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
KVV Thes Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-2 | 6-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 13/03 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Roeselare vs KVV Thes Sport?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Roeselare win (49%). Probabilities: SK Roeselare 49%, draw 26%, KVV Thes Sport 25%.
How many goals are expected in SK Roeselare vs KVV Thes Sport?
The model expects 2.69 goals (SK Roeselare 1.61 · KVV Thes Sport 1.08), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Roeselare vs KVV Thes Sport?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.