Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 30/09, 20:00

Prediction: KVV Zelzate vs Royal Knokke

Team pages: KVV Zelzate · Royal Knokke

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

KVV Zelzate1.76

Royal Knokke2.27

1X2

29% 23% 48%

KVV Zelzate Draw Royal Knokke

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

KVV Zelzate 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Royal Knokke 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KVV Zelzate 2–1 Royal Knokke (3 last)

KVV Zelzate9-2Royal Knokke
KVV Zelzate2-3Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke1-3KVV Zelzate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVV Zelzate 1423 · Royal Knokke 1481

	KVV Zelzate	Draw	Royal Knokke
Our model	30%	21%	49%
Market	29%	24%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Royal Knokke (rating 1423 vs 1481).
H2H favours KVV Zelzate: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVV Zelzate	Royal Knokke
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 3	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.7	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 4.19 ★
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.94

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:02 +4’	3.10	3.75	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:56 +9’	2.96	4.19	1.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Zelzate 2–0–1 Royal Knokke

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Belgium Amateur Cup	KVV Zelzate	9-2 HT 3-1	Royal Knokke
26/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Zelzate	2-3 HT 2-0	Royal Knokke
31/08/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	1-3 HT 0-2	KVV Zelzate

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	6	5	0	1	14	4	15
2	RWD Molenbeek	5	5	0	0	8	1	15
3	Tubize	6	3	2	1	9	8	11
4	Union Rochefortoise	5	3	1	1	12	6	10
5	Union Saint Gilloise II	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
6	RAEC Mons	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
7	RCS Onhaye	6	2	0	4	7	12	6
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	5	1	2	2	4	5	5
9	Standard Liege II	5	1	1	3	5	3	4
10	RSC Habay	5	1	1	3	5	9	4
11	ROC Charleroi	5	1	1	3	4	12	4
12	FC Flenu	5	0	1	4	5	13	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVV Zelzate	Royal Knokke
Cercle Brugge Reserves	1-1 D	1-2 L
Belisia Bilzen SV	0-5 L	3-2 W
Dessel Sport	1-3 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Royal Knokke (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVV Zelzate

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	13	5	L
13/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	3-4	7	2	L
06/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
30/08	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
26/04	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-3	1	6	L
19/04	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-5	6	1	L
11/04	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
28/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
22/03	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	4-3	9	7	W
15/03	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-3	4	2	L

Royal Knokke

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	8	7	W
13/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
30/08	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	11	6	W
19/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/04	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	8	3	W
29/03	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
21/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-4	5	3	L
15/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVV Zelzate vs Royal Knokke?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Royal Knokke win (48%). Probabilities: KVV Zelzate 29%, draw 23%, Royal Knokke 48%.

How many goals are expected in KVV Zelzate vs Royal Knokke?

The model expects 4.03 goals (KVV Zelzate 1.76 · Royal Knokke 2.27), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KVV Zelzate vs Royal Knokke?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.