Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 30/09, 20:00

Prediction: Sporting Charleroi U23 vs RSC Habay

Team pages: Sporting Charleroi U23 · RSC Habay

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Sporting Charleroi U231.69

RSC Habay0.91

1X2

54% 26% 19%

Sporting Charleroi U23 Draw RSC Habay

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting Charleroi U23 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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RSC Habay 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sporting Charleroi U23 1–1 RSC Habay (2 last)

Sporting Charleroi U232-3RSC Habay
RSC Habay0-3Sporting Charleroi U23

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Charleroi U23 (rating 1492 vs 1431).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting Charleroi U23	RSC Habay
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	0.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.91

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.31▲	Pinn 2.31
X	3.32 → 3.28▼	Pinn 3.28
2	2.82 → 2.83▲	Pinn 2.83

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:05 +1’	2.30	3.32	2.82
01:09 +58’	2.31▲	3.28▼	2.83▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Charleroi U23 1–0–1 RSC Habay

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Sporting Charleroi U23	2-3 HT 0-2	RSC Habay
14/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	RSC Habay	0-3 HT 0-2	Sporting Charleroi U23

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	6	5	0	1	14	4	15
2	RWD Molenbeek	5	5	0	0	8	1	15
3	Tubize	6	3	2	1	9	8	11
4	Union Rochefortoise	5	3	1	1	12	6	10
5	Union Saint Gilloise II	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
6	RAEC Mons	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
7	RCS Onhaye	6	2	0	4	7	12	6
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	5	1	2	2	4	5	5
9	Standard Liege II	5	1	1	3	5	3	4
10	RSC Habay	5	1	1	3	5	9	4
11	ROC Charleroi	5	1	1	3	4	12	4
12	FC Flenu	5	0	1	4	5	13	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting Charleroi U23	RSC Habay
Union Rochefortoise	1-1 D	2-4 L
RWD Molenbeek	0-1 L	1-2 L
FC Flenu	2-2 D	2-1 W
RAEC Mons	1-0 W	0-1 L
Tubize	0-1 L	0-2 L
Standard Liege II	0-2 L	0-0 D
Union Saint Gilloise II	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Charleroi U23 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting Charleroi U23

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
12/09	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
06/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-2	1	5	D
30/08	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
26/08	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
10/05	UR Namur Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-3	5	1	L
03/05	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	3	0	L
26/04	RRC Stockay-Warfusee Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/04	Crossing Schaerbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
11/04	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	7	2	W

RSC Habay

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/09	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
05/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
29/08	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
26/08	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
10/05	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
03/05	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
25/04	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	1-4	2	5	L
18/04	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	3	8	L
12/04	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting Charleroi U23 vs RSC Habay?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting Charleroi U23 win (54%). Probabilities: Sporting Charleroi U23 54%, draw 26%, RSC Habay 19%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting Charleroi U23 vs RSC Habay?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Sporting Charleroi U23 1.69 · RSC Habay 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting Charleroi U23 vs RSC Habay?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.