Football · Panama Liga Prom · 24/09, 23:00

Prediction: Tauro FC Reserves vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Team pages: Tauro FC Reserves · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Tauro FC Reserves1.47

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.29

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Tauro FC Reserves Draw Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tauro FC Reserves 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDWWDD

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Tauro FC Reserves 0–1–5 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves (6 last)

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves3-1Tauro FC Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-0Tauro FC Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves2-3Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves0-0Tauro FC Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves0-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves1-3Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tauro FC Reserves 1543 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1531

	Tauro FC Reserves	Draw	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tauro FC Reserves	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +5’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauro FC Reserves 0–1–5 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	3-1 HT 1-0	Tauro FC Reserves
18/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC Reserves
21/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	2-3 HT 2-0	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
13/11/24 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC Reserves
08/11/24 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
28/09/24 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	1-3 HT 1-2	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	9	5	3	1	16	6	18
2	Tauro FC Reserves	9	4	4	1	16	9	16
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	9	4	1	4	21	18	13
4	Potros Del Este	9	3	1	5	8	10	10
5	Alianza FC Reserves	9	2	2	5	7	15	8
6	San Martin FC	9	2	1	6	16	19	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tauro FC Reserves	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	3-3 D	1-0 W
Panama City FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
UMECIT Reserves	2-0 W	1-1 D
Champions FC Academy	5-1 W	3-5 L
Alianza FC Reserves	1-1 D	0-1 L
San Martin FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Potros Del Este	1-2 L	2-1 W
Chorrillo	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tauro FC Reserves

WDLWWDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-3	4	3	D
12/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
04/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	9	W
28/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-0	5-1	2	5	W
23/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	6	10	D
16/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	13	4	W
07/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
02/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	1-2	–	–	L
24/07	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
30/04	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-0	4-0	0	5	W

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

LDWLDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-1	16	8	W
11/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	–	1-0	–	–	W
28/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
21/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
14/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
07/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-4	3-5	9	5	L
31/07	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
30/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tauro FC Reserves vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tauro FC Reserves win (41%). Probabilities: Tauro FC Reserves 41%, draw 27%, Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 32%.

How many goals are expected in Tauro FC Reserves vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Tauro FC Reserves 1.47 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tauro FC Reserves vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.