Football · Panama Liga Prom · 01/10, 03:00
Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves
Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves · Plaza Amador Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.55
Plaza Amador Reserves1.83
1X2
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Draw
Plaza Amador Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Plaza Amador Reserves
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
1–5–0
Plaza Amador Reserves
(6 last)
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-2Plaza Amador Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-2Plaza Amador Reserves
- Plaza Amador Reserves2-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-1Plaza Amador Reserves
- Plaza Amador Reserves0-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Plaza Amador Reserves1-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1522 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1522
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | Draw | Plaza Amador Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | Plaza Amador Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.2 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1–5–0 Plaza Amador Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
| 04/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2-2 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
| 13/11/25 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 07/11/25 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
| 28/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 20/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 1-1 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Tauro FC Reserves | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 16 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | Plaza Amador Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Tauro FC Reserves | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Potros Del Este | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Alianza FC Reserves | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Chorrillo | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| San Martin FC | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Panama City FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Champions FC Academy | 3-5 L | 6-1 W |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| UMECIT Reserves | 1-1 D | 6-4 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-1 | 16 | 8 | W |
| 11/09 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/08 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 07/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Plaza Amador Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 6-4 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 6-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/08 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Amador Reserves win (43%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 31%, draw 25%, Plaza Amador Reserves 43%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.55 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1.83), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.