Football · Panama Liga Prom · 03/10, 03:00

Prediction: Panama City FC vs Chorrillo

Team pages: Panama City FC · Chorrillo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

Panama City FC1.2

Chorrillo0.93

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Panama City FC Draw Chorrillo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Panama City FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDLWWDDW

Chorrillo 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWDLWWW

Head-to-head

Panama City FC 1–1–1 Chorrillo (3 last)

Chorrillo1-1Panama City FC
Chorrillo2-1Panama City FC
Panama City FC4-2Chorrillo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Panama City FC 1549 · Chorrillo 1564

	Panama City FC	Draw	Chorrillo
Our model	41%	32%	27%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Panama City FC	Chorrillo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/33/22%	13/75/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	6.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:44 +48’	2.05	3.30	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Panama City FC 1–1–1 Chorrillo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Chorrillo	1-1 HT 1-1	Panama City FC
22/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Chorrillo	2-1 HT 1-1	Panama City FC
23/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	4-2 HT 3-0	Chorrillo

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	10	6	3	1	19	6	21
2	Tauro FC Reserves	10	5	4	1	19	11	19
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	10	5	1	4	22	18	16
4	Potros Del Este	11	3	2	6	11	14	11
5	Alianza FC Reserves	10	2	2	6	8	18	8
6	San Martin FC	10	2	1	7	16	21	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Panama City FC	Chorrillo
San Martin FC	2-0 W	4-1 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	2-2 D	3-0 W
Tauro FC Reserves	0-0 D	2-2 D
Potros Del Este	1-0 W	1-0 W
Alianza FC Reserves	1-0 W	0-0 D
UMECIT Reserves	0-1 L	3-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-0 D	0-1 L
Academia Costa Del Este	2-2 D	3-2 W
Champions FC Academy	2-0 W	3-0 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 4 D 1 L	6 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chorrillo (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Panama City FC

WWDDLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
18/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-2	4	7	D
12/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
05/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
29/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-0	–	–	W
24/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
14/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
09/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
02/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
26/07	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	4	4	W

Chorrillo

DWDWWDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
18/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	8	7	W
11/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-2	3-2	6	10	W
05/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
20/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
12/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
06/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
30/07	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	4-1	–	–	W
24/07	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Panama City FC vs Chorrillo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Panama City FC win (42%). Probabilities: Panama City FC 42%, draw 29%, Chorrillo 29%.

How many goals are expected in Panama City FC vs Chorrillo?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Panama City FC 1.2 · Chorrillo 0.93), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Panama City FC vs Chorrillo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.