Football · Panama Liga Prom · 02/10, 03:00
Prediction: CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs San Martin FC
Team pages: CD Arabe Unido Reserves · San Martin FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.85
San Martin FC1.02
1X2
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Draw
San Martin FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
San Martin FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
4–1–1
San Martin FC
(6 last)
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves3-0San Martin FC
- San Martin FC0-1CD Arabe Unido Reserves
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-1San Martin FC
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves3-2San Martin FC
- San Martin FC1-0CD Arabe Unido Reserves
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-0San Martin FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1515 · San Martin FC 1428
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | Draw | San Martin FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves (rating 1515 vs 1428).
- H2H favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | San Martin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 29/14/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 4–1–1 San Martin FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 3-0 HT 2-0 | San Martin FC |
| 05/05/26 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
| 21/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin FC |
| 13/09/25 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 3-2 HT 0-1 | San Martin FC |
| 14/03/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
| 07/09/24 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Tauro FC Reserves | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 16 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | San Martin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Potros Del Este | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Alianza FC Reserves | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Chorrillo | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Champions FC Academy | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| UMECIT Reserves | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Panama City FC | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido Reserves (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 27/08 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
San Martin FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs San Martin FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido Reserves win (56%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido Reserves 56%, draw 24%, San Martin FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs San Martin FC?
The model expects 2.87 goals (CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1.85 · San Martin FC 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs San Martin FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.