Football · Panama Liga Prom · 02/10, 16:00

Prediction: Academia Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC Reserves

Team pages: Academia Costa Del Este · Tauro FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Academia Costa Del Este1.95

Tauro FC Reserves1.17

1X2

55% 24% 21%

Academia Costa Del Este Draw Tauro FC Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Costa Del Este 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWLWW

Tauro FC Reserves 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWWDDW

Head-to-head

Academia Costa Del Este 5–0 Tauro FC Reserves (5 last)

Academia Costa Del Este2-0Tauro FC Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves1-3Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este5-0Tauro FC Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves0-2Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este4-2Tauro FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Costa Del Este 1563 · Tauro FC Reserves 1543

	Academia Costa Del Este	Draw	Tauro FC Reserves
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	55%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Academia Costa Del Este: 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Costa Del Este	Tauro FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:06 +10’	1.65	3.80	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Costa Del Este 5–0–0 Tauro FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	2-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC Reserves
07/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	1-3 HT 1-2	Academia Costa Del Este
18/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	5-0 HT 1-0	Tauro FC Reserves
15/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	0-2 HT 0-2	Academia Costa Del Este
09/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	4-2 HT 1-1	Tauro FC Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	10	6	3	1	19	6	21
2	Tauro FC Reserves	10	5	4	1	19	11	19
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	10	5	1	4	22	18	16
4	Potros Del Este	11	3	2	6	11	14	11
5	Alianza FC Reserves	10	2	2	6	8	18	8
6	San Martin FC	10	2	1	7	16	21	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Costa Del Este	Tauro FC Reserves
Potros Del Este	3-2 W	1-2 L
Alianza FC Reserves	2-0 W	1-1 D
Chorrillo	2-3 L	2-2 D
San Martin FC	3-2 W	1-0 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	3-0 W	1-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-3 L	3-2 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-1 W	3-3 D
Panama City FC	2-2 D	0-0 D
UMECIT Reserves	2-1 W	2-0 W
Champions FC Academy	1-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 4 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia Costa Del Este

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	11	7	W
18/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
11/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-3	5	10	L
06/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-2	–	–	W
28/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
21/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
16/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
09/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
24/07	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	7	7	W

Tauro FC Reserves

DLWWDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-2	2	7	W
19/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-3	4	3	D
12/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
04/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	9	W
28/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-0	5-1	2	5	W
23/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	6	10	D
16/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	13	4	W
07/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
02/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	1-2	–	–	L
24/07	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Costa Del Este win (55%). Probabilities: Academia Costa Del Este 55%, draw 24%, Tauro FC Reserves 21%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Academia Costa Del Este 1.95 · Tauro FC Reserves 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.