Football · Panama Liga Prom · 25/09, 03:00

Prediction: Veraguas United Reserves vs Aguilas de la U

Team pages: Veraguas United Reserves · Aguilas de la U

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Veraguas United Reserves0.97

Aguilas de la U2.68

1X2

11% 17% 73%

Veraguas United Reserves Draw Aguilas de la U

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

0-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Veraguas United Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWWLD

Aguilas de la U 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Veraguas United Reserves 2–4 Aguilas de la U (6 last)

Aguilas de la U4-1Veraguas United Reserves
Aguilas de la U5-2Veraguas United Reserves
Veraguas United Reserves1-5Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U0-2Veraguas United Reserves
Veraguas United Reserves3-2Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U1-0Veraguas United Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veraguas United Reserves 1502 · Aguilas de la U 1615

	Veraguas United Reserves	Draw	Aguilas de la U
Our model	11%	17%	73%
Market	10%	17%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas de la U (rating 1502 vs 1615).
H2H favours Aguilas de la U: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veraguas United Reserves	Aguilas de la U
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.9	3.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/33/22%	43/57/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.3	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

18.50

X5.25

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +6’	8.50	5.25	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veraguas United Reserves 2–0–4 Aguilas de la U

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	4-1 HT 2-1	Veraguas United Reserves
21/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	5-2 HT 3-2	Veraguas United Reserves
19/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Veraguas United Reserves	1-5 HT 0-2	Aguilas de la U
14/05/23 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	0-2 HT 0-0	Veraguas United Reserves
25/03/23 Panama Liga Prom	Veraguas United Reserves	3-2 HT 1-1	Aguilas de la U
29/08/22 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	1-0 HT 0-0	Veraguas United Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	9	8	0	1	31	6	24
2	Udelas FC	9	7	0	2	23	10	21
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	9	5	3	1	19	13	18
4	SD Atletico Nacional	9	5	0	4	19	20	15
5	San Francisco Reserves	9	4	1	4	16	16	13
6	Union Cocle Reserves	9	1	3	5	10	17	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veraguas United Reserves	Aguilas de la U
Union Cocle Reserves	0-0 D	5-1 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2-4 L	0-1 L
SD Atletico Nacional	4-3 W	4-1 W
San Francisco Reserves	4-1 W	2-0 W
Herrera FC Reserves	4-2 W	6-0 W
Rayados de Chiriqui	5-2 W	4-0 W
La Familia FC	1-1 D	3-2 W
CD Universitario Reserves	1-2 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Aguilas de la U (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veraguas United Reserves

LLLDWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
11/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-4	–	–	L
04/09	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	3-1	4-3	2	11	W
28/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	4-1	3	4	W
21/08	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	4-2	4	4	W
13/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	3-2	5-2	1	8	W
07/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
02/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-2	7	12	L
24/07	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	12	7	L
01/05	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	6	2	L

Aguilas de la U

DWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	5-1	4	2	W
13/09	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	3-2	3-2	7	3	W
05/09	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	6-0	–	–	W
29/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	4-0	–	–	W
22/08	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
15/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	4-1	–	–	W
01/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
26/07	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	5-1	4	7	W
10/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veraguas United Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aguilas de la U win (73%). Probabilities: Veraguas United Reserves 11%, draw 17%, Aguilas de la U 73%.

How many goals are expected in Veraguas United Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Veraguas United Reserves 0.97 · Aguilas de la U 2.68), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Veraguas United Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.