Football · Panama Liga Prom · 25/09, 03:00

Prediction: Champions FC Academy vs Alianza FC Reserves

Team pages: Champions FC Academy · Alianza FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Champions FC Academy1.15

Alianza FC Reserves2.6

1X2

14% 19% 67%

Champions FC Academy Draw Alianza FC Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Champions FC Academy 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDLLDL

Alianza FC Reserves 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWDLLWL

Head-to-head

Champions FC Academy 4–1–1 Alianza FC Reserves (6 last)

Champions FC Academy1-4Alianza FC Reserves
Champions FC Academy2-2Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves2-3Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy3-0Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves0-4Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy1-0Alianza FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Champions FC Academy 1426 · Alianza FC Reserves 1487

	Champions FC Academy	Draw	Alianza FC Reserves
Our model	14%	18%	68%
Market	14%	19%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alianza FC Reserves (rating 1426 vs 1487).
H2H favours Champions FC Academy: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Champions FC Academy	Alianza FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.8	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.5	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	38/50/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	2.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

16.50

X4.75

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +8’	6.50	4.75	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Champions FC Academy 4–1–1 Alianza FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	1-4 HT 0-1	Alianza FC Reserves
27/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	2-2 HT 2-2	Alianza FC Reserves
26/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	2-3	Champions FC Academy
24/08/24 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	3-0 HT 0-0	Alianza FC Reserves
11/03/24 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	0-4 HT 0-1	Champions FC Academy
15/09/23 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	1-0 HT 0-0	Alianza FC Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	9	5	3	1	16	6	18
2	Tauro FC Reserves	9	4	4	1	16	9	16
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	9	4	1	4	21	18	13
4	Potros Del Este	9	3	1	5	8	10	10
5	Alianza FC Reserves	9	2	2	5	7	15	8
6	San Martin FC	9	2	1	6	16	19	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Champions FC Academy	Alianza FC Reserves
Chorrillo	0-3 L	0-0 D
San Martin FC	2-2 D	1-4 L
Plaza Amador Reserves	1-6 L	1-4 L
Tauro FC Reserves	1-5 L	1-1 D
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-2 D	1-2 L
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	5-3 W	1-0 W
Panama City FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Academia Costa Del Este	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Champions FC Academy

WLLWLDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
13/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	5	10	D
04/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	1-6	4	3	L
28/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-5	4	5	L
21/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	3	6	D
15/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	6	6	L
07/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	4-1	5-3	3	5	W
02/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
24/07	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-1	4	3	W

Alianza FC Reserves

WLLDWDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
11/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
06/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
29/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	5	10	D
15/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
06/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
31/07	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
24/07	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-4	–	–	L
30/04	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Champions FC Academy vs Alianza FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Alianza FC Reserves win (67%). Probabilities: Champions FC Academy 14%, draw 19%, Alianza FC Reserves 67%.

How many goals are expected in Champions FC Academy vs Alianza FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Champions FC Academy 1.15 · Alianza FC Reserves 2.6), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Champions FC Academy vs Alianza FC Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.