Football · Panama Liga Prom · 25/09, 16:00

Prediction: Academia Costa Del Este vs Potros Del Este

Team pages: Academia Costa Del Este · Potros Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Academia Costa Del Este2.24

Potros Del Este1.14

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Academia Costa Del Este Draw Potros Del Este

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Costa Del Este 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLWWLW

Potros Del Este 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Academia Costa Del Este 2–0 Potros Del Este (2 last)

Academia Costa Del Este5-3Potros Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este3-1Potros Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Costa Del Este 1556 · Potros Del Este 1449

	Academia Costa Del Este	Draw	Potros Del Este
Our model	61%	21%	18%
Market	61%	22%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Costa Del Este (rating 1556 vs 1449).
H2H favours Academia Costa Del Este: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Costa Del Este	Potros Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.6	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	6.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.10

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +4’	1.48	4.10	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Costa Del Este 2–0–0 Potros Del Este

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	5-3 HT 4-0	Potros Del Este
31/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	3-1 HT 1-0	Potros Del Este

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	9	5	3	1	16	6	18
2	Tauro FC Reserves	9	4	4	1	16	9	16
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	9	4	1	4	21	18	13
4	Potros Del Este	9	3	1	5	8	10	10
5	Alianza FC Reserves	9	2	2	5	7	15	8
6	San Martin FC	9	2	1	6	16	19	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Costa Del Este	Potros Del Este
Alianza FC Reserves	2-0 W	1-2 L
Chorrillo	2-3 L	0-1 L
San Martin FC	3-2 W	2-1 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	3-0 W	1-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-3 L	1-2 L
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-1 W	0-1 L
Panama City FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
UMECIT Reserves	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Academia Costa Del Este (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia Costa Del Este

DWWDWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
11/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-3	5	10	L
06/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-2	–	–	W
28/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
21/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
16/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
09/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
24/07	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
09/05	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	11	9	D

Potros Del Este

LWWWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-2	1	8	L
11/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
15/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
06/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
02/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-4	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Costa Del Este vs Potros Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Costa Del Este win (61%). Probabilities: Academia Costa Del Este 61%, draw 22%, Potros Del Este 17%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Costa Del Este vs Potros Del Este?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Academia Costa Del Este 2.24 · Potros Del Este 1.14), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Costa Del Este vs Potros Del Este?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.