Football · Panama Liga Prom · 26/09, 23:00

Prediction: Rayados de Chiriqui vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Team pages: Rayados de Chiriqui · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Rayados de Chiriqui1.22

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2.13

1X2

20% 22% 57%

Rayados de Chiriqui Draw CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Rayados de Chiriqui 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLDLLL

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWWLWD

Head-to-head

Rayados de Chiriqui 1–2–3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (6 last)

Rayados de Chiriqui1-3CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Rayados de Chiriqui0-0CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves5-1Rayados de Chiriqui
Rayados de Chiriqui2-1CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves3-0Rayados de Chiriqui
Rayados de Chiriqui2-2CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rayados de Chiriqui 1451 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1554

	Rayados de Chiriqui	Draw	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Our model	20%	22%	57%
Market	20%	22%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (rating 1451 vs 1554).
H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rayados de Chiriqui	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/50/38%	43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 0.6	5.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.00

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +7’	4.33	4.00	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rayados de Chiriqui 1–2–3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Rayados de Chiriqui	1-3 HT 1-0	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
12/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Rayados de Chiriqui	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
30/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	5-1 HT 2-0	Rayados de Chiriqui
28/09/24 Panama Liga Prom	Rayados de Chiriqui	2-1 HT 1-0	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
07/04/24 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	3-0 HT 0-0	Rayados de Chiriqui
16/09/23 Panama Liga Prom	Rayados de Chiriqui	2-2 HT 2-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	10	9	0	1	34	6	27
2	Udelas FC	9	7	0	2	23	10	21
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	9	5	3	1	19	13	18
4	SD Atletico Nacional	9	5	0	4	19	20	15
5	San Francisco Reserves	9	4	1	4	16	16	13
6	Union Cocle Reserves	10	2	3	5	11	17	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rayados de Chiriqui	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
SD Atletico Nacional	0-2 L	4-2 W
Udelas FC	1-3 L	2-1 W
Aguilas de la U	0-4 L	1-0 W
Bocas	2-2 D	1-1 D
Veraguas United Reserves	2-5 L	4-2 W
CD Universitario Reserves	1-2 L	1-2 L
La Familia FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rayados de Chiriqui

LWWWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	3	8	L
05/09	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-3	1-3	8	11	L
29/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	0-4	–	–	L
23/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-2	1	10	D
13/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-3	2-5	11	8	L
08/08	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
25/07	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
10/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-0	–	–	W
07/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	6	3	L

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

DWWDDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
29/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-2	4	9	W
22/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
07/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
01/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-1	7	7	W
02/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-2	7	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rayados de Chiriqui vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win (57%). Probabilities: Rayados de Chiriqui 20%, draw 22%, CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 57%.

How many goals are expected in Rayados de Chiriqui vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Rayados de Chiriqui 1.22 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2.13), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rayados de Chiriqui vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.