Football · Panama Liga Prom · 26/09, 23:00
Prediction: Herrera FC Reserves vs SD Atletico Nacional
Team pages: Herrera FC Reserves · SD Atletico Nacional
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4Total
Herrera FC Reserves1.83
SD Atletico Nacional2.17
1X2
Herrera FC Reserves
Draw
SD Atletico Nacional
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Herrera FC Reserves
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
SD Atletico Nacional
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Herrera FC Reserves
0–3–3
SD Atletico Nacional
(6 last)
- SD Atletico Nacional2-0Herrera FC Reserves
- Herrera FC Reserves0-4SD Atletico Nacional
- SD Atletico Nacional5-0Herrera FC Reserves
- Herrera FC Reserves1-1SD Atletico Nacional
- SD Atletico Nacional0-0Herrera FC Reserves
- Herrera FC Reserves1-1SD Atletico Nacional
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SD Atletico Nacional (rating 1414 vs 1520).
- H2H favours SD Atletico Nacional: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Herrera FC Reserves | SD Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.9 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.6 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.4 | 6.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC Reserves 0–3–3 SD Atletico Nacional
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Herrera FC Reserves |
| 12/03/25 Panama Liga Prom | Herrera FC Reserves | 0-4 HT 0-2 | SD Atletico Nacional |
| 13/09/24 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Herrera FC Reserves |
| 17/03/24 Panama Liga Prom | Herrera FC Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | SD Atletico Nacional |
| 30/09/23 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Herrera FC Reserves |
| 11/03/23 Panama Liga Prom | Herrera FC Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | SD Atletico Nacional |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas de la U | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Udelas FC | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | SD Atletico Nacional | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
| 5 | San Francisco Reserves | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Herrera FC Reserves | SD Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Reserves | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Udelas FC | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Aguilas de la U | 0-6 L | 1-4 L |
| Union Cocle Reserves | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Veraguas United Reserves | 2-4 L | 3-4 L |
| Bocas | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| CD Universitario Reserves | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Rayados de Chiriqui | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: SD Atletico Nacional (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Herrera FC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/08 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
SD Atletico Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 28/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Herrera FC Reserves vs SD Atletico Nacional?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SD Atletico Nacional win (46%). Probabilities: Herrera FC Reserves 33%, draw 22%, SD Atletico Nacional 46%.
How many goals are expected in Herrera FC Reserves vs SD Atletico Nacional?
The model expects 4 goals (Herrera FC Reserves 1.83 · SD Atletico Nacional 2.17), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Herrera FC Reserves vs SD Atletico Nacional?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.