Football · Panama Liga Prom · 27/09, 01:00
Prediction: San Martin FC vs Panama City FC
Team pages: San Martin FC · Panama City FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
San Martin FC1.05
Panama City FC1.43
1X2
San Martin FC
Draw
Panama City FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Panama City FC
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Martin FC
0–3–3
Panama City FC
(6 last)
- Panama City FC0-0San Martin FC
- San Martin FC1-3Panama City FC
- Panama City FC2-2San Martin FC
- San Martin FC1-4Panama City FC
- Panama City FC1-0San Martin FC
- San Martin FC2-2Panama City FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Martin FC 1452 · Panama City FC 1531
| San Martin FC | Draw | Panama City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 29% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panama City FC (rating 1452 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Panama City FC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin FC | Panama City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/14/57% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.6 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin FC 0–3–3 Panama City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | Panama City FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin FC |
| 08/09/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Panama City FC |
| 09/03/25 Panama Liga Prom | Panama City FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | San Martin FC |
| 06/10/24 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Panama City FC |
| 21/07/24 Panama Liga Prom | Panama City FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin FC |
| 18/04/24 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Panama City FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tauro FC Reserves | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Chorrillo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 13 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin FC | Panama City FC |
|---|---|---|
| UMECIT Reserves | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Champions FC Academy | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Potros Del Este | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Alianza FC Reserves | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 4 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Panama City FC (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Panama City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/08 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 09/08 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin FC vs Panama City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Panama City FC win (45%). Probabilities: San Martin FC 27%, draw 28%, Panama City FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin FC vs Panama City FC?
The model expects 2.47 goals (San Martin FC 1.05 · Panama City FC 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin FC vs Panama City FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.