Football · Panama Liga Prom · 27/09, 03:00

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves

Team pages: CD Arabe Unido Reserves · Plaza Amador Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.92

Plaza Amador Reserves1.92

1X2

38% 25% 38%

CD Arabe Unido Reserves Draw Plaza Amador Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDDWWD

Plaza Amador Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWLWWD

Head-to-head

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 0–2–4 Plaza Amador Reserves (6 last)

Plaza Amador Reserves4-4CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves6-1CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves2-3Plaza Amador Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-4Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves1-1CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-2Plaza Amador Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1506 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1511

	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Draw	Plaza Amador Reserves
Our model	39%	23%	39%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Plaza Amador Reserves: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Plaza Amador Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	2.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:10 +4’	2.45	3.40	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 0–2–4 Plaza Amador Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	4-4 HT 2-2	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
27/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	6-1 HT 3-1	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
23/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-3 HT 0-2	Plaza Amador Reserves
20/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-4 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador Reserves
21/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
31/08/24 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 HT 1-2	Plaza Amador Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tauro FC Reserves	10	5	4	1	19	11	19
2	Chorrillo	9	5	3	1	16	6	18
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	9	4	1	4	21	18	13
4	Potros Del Este	9	3	1	5	8	10	10
5	Alianza FC Reserves	10	2	2	6	8	18	8
6	San Martin FC	9	2	1	6	16	19	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Plaza Amador Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves	3-3 D	0-1 L
Potros Del Este	1-0 W	0-1 L
Alianza FC Reserves	2-1 W	4-1 W
Chorrillo	0-0 D	0-3 L
Champions FC Academy	2-2 D	6-1 W
Academia Costa Del Este	1-2 L	0-3 L
UMECIT Reserves	3-0 W	6-4 W
Panama City FC	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido Reserves (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido Reserves

DLLWLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
11/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
21/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
16/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
08/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
31/07	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
26/07	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
22/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	10	10	D

Plaza Amador Reserves

DLWLLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-2	1	7	D
12/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-1	6-4	3	6	W
04/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	3-1	6-1	3	3	W
28/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	0	5	L
22/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
12/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
07/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
31/07	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
25/07	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	4-4	8	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido Reserves win (38%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido Reserves 38%, draw 25%, Plaza Amador Reserves 38%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model expects 3.84 goals (CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1.92 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1.92), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.