Football · Panama Liga Prom · 27/09, 02:00

Prediction: La Familia FC vs San Francisco Reserves

Team pages: La Familia FC · San Francisco Reserves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
La Familia FC1.19
San Francisco Reserves2.27
1X2
18% 21% 61%
La Familia FC Draw San Francisco Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
La Familia FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
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San Francisco Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
La Familia FC 0–3 San Francisco Reserves (3 last)
  • La Familia FC0-1San Francisco Reserves
  • San Francisco Reserves3-1La Familia FC
  • La Familia FC1-2San Francisco Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Familia FC 1407 · San Francisco Reserves 1512
La Familia FCDrawSan Francisco Reserves
Our model18%21%61%
Market18%21%61%
Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Francisco Reserves (rating 1407 vs 1512).
  • H2H favours San Francisco Reserves: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La Familia FCSan Francisco Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.91.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 10.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/22/44%22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.32.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.2 / 0.44.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · La Familia FC 0–0–3 San Francisco Reserves

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/03/26
Panama Liga Prom
La Familia FC0-1
HT 0-0
San Francisco Reserves
26/09/25
Panama Liga Prom
San Francisco Reserves3-1
HT 1-1
La Familia FC
15/03/25
Panama Liga Prom
La Familia FC1-2
HT 0-1
San Francisco Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Aguilas de la U 10901 34627
2 Udelas FC 9702 231021
3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 9531 191318
4 SD Atletico Nacional 9504 192015
5 San Francisco Reserves 9414 161613
6 Union Cocle Reserves 10235 11179

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa Familia FCSan Francisco Reserves
Udelas FC 1-4 L 0-3 L
Aguilas de la U 2-3 L 0-2 L
Union Cocle Reserves 3-2 W 3-1 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2-3 L 2-2 D
Herrera FC Reserves 1-5 L 1-0 W
Veraguas United Reserves 1-1 D 1-4 L
Bocas 1-1 D 4-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: San Francisco Reserves (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Familia FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Udelas FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-4 15 L
13/09 Aguilas de la U
Panama Liga Prom
2-3 2-3 23 L
06/09 Union Cocle Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
2-1 3-2 713 W
29/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 2-3 59 L
22/08 CD Universitario Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
3-1 3-4 69 L
16/08 Herrera FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-5 36 L
07/08 Veraguas United Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-1 17 D
01/08 Rayados de Chiriqui
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-2 57 L
26/07 Bocas
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-1 010 D
03/05 Rayados de Chiriqui
Panama Liga Prom
– 0-4 –– L

San Francisco Reserves

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Herrera FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-0 46 W
04/09 Bocas
Panama Liga Prom
– 4-1 –– W
28/08 Veraguas United Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-2 1-4 54 L
21/08 Union Cocle Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
2-1 3-1 28 W
15/08 Aguilas de la U
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-2 54 L
07/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 2-2 16 D
01/08 Udelas FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-3 48 L
25/07 SD Atletico Nacional
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 2-3 54 L
30/04 Union Cocle Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-3 36 L
25/04 SD Atletico Nacional
Panama Liga Prom
2-0 3-1 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Familia FC vs San Francisco Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an San Francisco Reserves win (61%). Probabilities: La Familia FC 18%, draw 21%, San Francisco Reserves 61%.

How many goals are expected in La Familia FC vs San Francisco Reserves?

The model expects 3.47 goals (La Familia FC 1.19 · San Francisco Reserves 2.27), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in La Familia FC vs San Francisco Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.