Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 24/09, 00:00

Prediction: Moca FC vs Delfines Del Este

Team pages: Moca FC · Delfines Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

Moca FC1.09

Delfines Del Este0.85

1X2

41% 31% 28%

Moca FC Draw Delfines Del Este

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Moca FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLDLDDDDWW

Delfines Del Este 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDWWLW

Head-to-head

Moca FC 2–4 Delfines Del Este (6 last)

Delfines Del Este1-0Moca FC
Moca FC1-3Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este2-0Moca FC
Moca FC0-1Delfines Del Este
Moca FC1-0Delfines Del Este
Moca FC1-0Delfines Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moca FC 1474 · Delfines Del Este 1562

	Moca FC	Draw	Delfines Del Este
Our model	40%	34%	27%
Market	42%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Delfines Del Este (rating 1474 vs 1562).
H2H favours Delfines Del Este: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Moca FC	Delfines Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	2.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.7	6.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
19:23 +48’	2.10	3.20	3.10
21:25 +2’	2.15▲	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Moca FC 2–0–4 Delfines Del Este

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	1-0 HT 1-0	Moca FC
01/02/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Moca FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Delfines Del Este
08/11/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	2-0 HT 1-0	Moca FC
24/08/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Moca FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Delfines Del Este
12/04/25 Dominican Republic Cup	Moca FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Delfines Del Este
24/08/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Moca FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Delfines Del Este

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Moca FC	Delfines Del Este
Cibao FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Jarabacoa FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Universidad O&M	0-0 D	0-1 L
Salcedo FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Atletico Vega Real	0-0 D	1-0 W
Atletico Pantoja	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Delfines Del Este (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moca FC

LLDLDDDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
06/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
30/08	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
27/08	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
22/08	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
24/04	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
11/04	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
02/04	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-1	2-2	1	9	D
21/03	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
15/03	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-3	5	8	L

Delfines Del Este

WDWLWDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
05/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	10	9	L
29/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
22/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
09/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
03/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	9	9	L
25/04	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/04	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-2	8	7	D
01/04	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	3-1	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moca FC vs Delfines Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Moca FC win (41%). Probabilities: Moca FC 41%, draw 31%, Delfines Del Este 28%.

How many goals are expected in Moca FC vs Delfines Del Este?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Moca FC 1.09 · Delfines Del Este 0.85), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Moca FC vs Delfines Del Este?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.