Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 28/09, 00:00

Prediction: Cibao FC vs Jarabacoa FC

Team pages: Cibao FC · Jarabacoa FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Cibao FC2.35

Jarabacoa FC0.61

1X2

76% 16% 8%

Cibao FC Draw Jarabacoa FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cibao FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWLDD

Jarabacoa FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Cibao FC 6–0 Jarabacoa FC (6 last)

Jarabacoa FC0-2Cibao FC
Jarabacoa FC0-3Cibao FC
Cibao FC2-0Jarabacoa FC
Cibao FC5-0Jarabacoa FC
Cibao FC5-1Jarabacoa FC
Cibao FC2-1Jarabacoa FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cibao FC 1548 · Jarabacoa FC 1411

	Cibao FC	Draw	Jarabacoa FC
Our model	76%	17%	7%
Market	77%	15%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cibao FC (rating 1548 vs 1411).
H2H favours Cibao FC: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cibao FC	Jarabacoa FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	0.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	1.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.9 / 0.2	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.93

2 (+2)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:45 +42’	1.18	6.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cibao FC 6–0–0 Jarabacoa FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Jarabacoa FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Cibao FC
29/11/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Jarabacoa FC	0-3 HT 0-1	Cibao FC
15/09/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Jarabacoa FC
15/03/25 Dominican Republic Cup	Cibao FC	5-0 HT 3-0	Jarabacoa FC
06/04/23 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	5-1 HT 2-1	Jarabacoa FC
29/08/22 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Jarabacoa FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cibao FC	Jarabacoa FC
Salcedo FC	0-0 D	0-2 L
Universidad O&M	1-1 D	0-4 L
Moca FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Atletico Vega Real	2-1 W	1-3 L
Atlantico FC	4-1 W	2-0 W
Delfines Del Este	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Cibao FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cibao FC

DLWWLWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
21/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
14/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
06/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-1	9	10	W
29/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	3-1	4-1	4	6	W
26/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
23/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
17/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-2	0	6	L
11/05	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	2	9	D

Jarabacoa FC

LLDLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
19/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
12/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	0-4	6	4	L
06/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
29/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
25/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
17/12	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	4	0	D
05/12	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
29/11	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cibao FC vs Jarabacoa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cibao FC win (76%). Probabilities: Cibao FC 76%, draw 16%, Jarabacoa FC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Cibao FC vs Jarabacoa FC?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Cibao FC 2.35 · Jarabacoa FC 0.61), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cibao FC vs Jarabacoa FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.